IOTA/IOTA-ES occultation update for (2) Pallas / UCAC4-401-016407 event on 2023 Mar 15, 01:05 UT Visible from South America Summary ------- On 2023 Mar 15 UT, the 532 km diameter asteroid (2) Pallas will occult a 12.1 mag star in the constellation Monoceros for observers along a path across South America. In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 0.03 mag to 8.02 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 24.710 seconds. This update is based on, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by the IAU Minor Planet Center. This work has made use of data from the European Space Agency (ESA) mission Gaia (http://www.cosmos.esa.int/gaia), processed by the Gaia Data Processing and Analysis Consortium (DPAC, http://www.cosmos.esa.int/web/gaia/dpac/consortium). Funding for the DPAC has been provided by national institutions, in particular the institutions participating in the Gaia Multilateral Agreement. The event at a glimpse ---------------------- * Rank: 100 * date and approx. time of event: 2023 Mar 15, 00:59 - 2023 Mar 15, 01:10 * geocentric midpoint of event [JD]: 2460018.54521821 * magnitude of target star: 12.10 * magnitude drop [mag]: 0.03 * estimated maximum duration [s]: 24.710 * Moon: 50 % sunlit, 139° distance * Sun: 106° distance * rough path description: South America Additional comments ------------------- duplicated source The occultation path -------------------- * approximate projected width [km]: 538 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [path widths]: +/- 0.08 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [seconds]: +/- 1.5 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval approx RA,DE ["]: (+/- 0.042, +/- 0.016) * 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): (0.042", 0.015", 85°) * approx speed of asteroid's shadow [km/s]: 21.5264 * website for maps: http://www.asteroidoccultation.com Path Coordinates: Occultation of UCAC4-401-016407 by 2 Pallas on 2023 Mar 15 Centre Star Star Sun Path Limits Error Limits Alt E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Limit 1 Limit 2 Limit 3 Limit 4 Crn o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " Latitude Latitude Latitude Latitude -131 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -59 37 31 .... -130 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -59 44 22 .. .. .. -59 17 24 .... -129 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -59 23 40 .. .. .. -58 56 28 .... -128 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -59 2 8 .. .. .. -58 34 39 .... -127 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. -58 39 42 .. .. .. -58 11 57 .... -126 0 0 -61 17 27 1 0 57.7 31 48 13 .. .. .. -58 16 22 .. .. .. -57 48 19 .... -125 0 0 -60 55 5 1 0 59.3 32 47 13 -63 59 51 -57 52 4 -64 28 47 -57 23 43 0.14 -124 0 0 -60 31 48 1 1 1.1 32 46 12 -63 38 37 -57 26 46 -64 7 52 -56 58 7 0.14 -123 0 0 -60 7 34 1 1 2.9 33 45 12 -63 16 30 -57 0 28 -63 46 6 -56 31 29 0.14 -122 0 0 -59 42 19 1 1 4.8 33 44 11 -62 53 27 -56 33 5 -63 23 24 -56 3 46 0.14 -121 0 0 -59 16 2 1 1 6.7 34 43 11 -62 29 26 -56 4 35 -62 59 44 -55 34 56 0.14 -120 0 0 -58 48 40 1 1 8.8 35 42 11 -62 4 25 -55 34 56 -62 35 5 -55 4 57 0.14 -119 0 0 -58 20 11 1 1 10.9 36 41 10 -61 38 20 -55 4 6 -62 9 24 -54 33 45 0.14 -118 0 0 -57 50 31 1 1 13.2 36 40 10 -61 11 10 -54 32 1 -61 42 37 -54 1 17 0.14 -117 0 0 -57 19 38 1 1 15.5 37 40 9 -60 42 51 -53 58 38 -61 14 42 -53 27 31 0.14 -116 0 0 -56 47 28 1 1 17.9 38 39 9 -60 13 20 -53 23 54 -60 45 37 -52 52 24 0.14 -115 0 0 -56 13 59 1 1 20.5 39 38 9 -59 42 34 -52 47 47 -60 15 17 -52 15 52 0.14 -114 0 0 -55 39 7 1 1 23.2 39 37 8 -59 10 30 -52 10 12 -59 43 40 -51 37 53 0.14 -113 0 0 -55 2 49 1 1 26.0 40 36 8 -58 37 5 -51 31 7 -59 10 42 -50 58 22 0.14 -112 0 0 -54 25 1 1 1 28.9 41 35 7 -58 2 14 -50 50 28 -58 36 20 -50 17 16 0.14 -111 0 0 -53 45 40 1 1 32.0 42 34 7 -57 25 55 -50 8 10 -58 0 29 -49 34 32 0.14 -110 0 0 -53 4 41 1 1 35.2 43 33 6 -56 48 2 -49 24 11 -57 23 7 -48 50 5 0.14 -109 0 0 -52 22 1 1 1 38.5 44 32 5 -56 8 33 -48 38 27 -56 44 8 -48 3 53 0.14 -108 0 0 -51 37 35 1 1 42.1 45 31 5 -55 27 23 -47 50 53 -56 3 29 -47 15 50 0.14 -107 0 0 -50 51 21 1 1 45.8 46 30 4 -54 44 27 -47 1 27 -55 21 5 -46 25 54 0.14 -106 0 0 -50 3 12 1 1 49.7 47 29 4 -53 59 42 -46 10 3 -54 36 52 -45 34 0 0.14 -105 0 0 -49 13 6 1 1 53.8 48 28 3 -53 13 3 -45 16 37 -53 50 46 -44 40 5 0.14 -104 0 0 -48 20 57 1 1 58.1 49 27 2 -52 24 24 -44 21 7 -53 2 41 -43 44 4 0.14 -103 0 0 -47 26 42 1 2 2.6 50 26 2 -51 33 42 -43 23 28 -52 12 33 -42 45 54 0.14 -102 0 0 -46 30 17 1 2 7.3 51 25 1 -50 40 52 -42 23 37 -51 20 18 -41 45 30 0.14 -101 0 0 -45 31 37 1 2 12.2 52 24 0 -49 45 50 -41 21 29 -50 25 50 -40 42 51 0.14 -100 0 0 -44 30 38 1 2 17.4 54 23 -1 -48 48 30 -40 17 2 -49 29 5 -39 37 52 0.14 - 99 0 0 -43 27 17 1 2 22.9 55 22 -2 -47 48 48 -39 10 12 -48 29 59 -38 30 30 0.14 - 98 0 0 -42 21 30 1 2 28.6 56 21 -2 -46 46 40 -38 0 56 -47 28 26 -37 20 43 0.14 - 97 0 0 -41 13 14 1 2 34.6 57 20 -3 -45 42 2 -36 49 14 -46 24 24 -36 8 29 0.14 - 96 0 0 -40 2 27 1 2 40.9 59 19 -4 -44 34 51 -35 35 2 -45 17 47 -34 53 46 0.14 - 95 0 0 -38 49 5 1 2 47.4 60 17 -5 -43 25 2 -34 18 20 -44 8 34 -33 36 34 0.15 - 94 0 0 -37 33 9 1 2 54.3 62 16 -6 -42 12 35 -32 59 7 -42 56 40 -32 16 51 0.15 - 93 0 0 -36 14 36 1 3 1.4 63 14 -7 -40 57 25 -31 37 24 -41 42 3 -30 54 39 0.15 - 92 0 0 -34 53 27 1 3 8.9 65 13 -8 -39 39 33 -30 13 11 -40 24 43 -29 29 59 0.15 - 91 0 0 -33 29 44 1 3 16.7 66 11 -9 -38 18 57 -28 46 33 -39 4 38 -28 2 54 0.15 - 90 0 0 -32 3 27 1 3 24.7 68 9 -10 -36 55 38 -27 17 31 -37 41 48 -26 33 27 0.15 - 89 0 0 -30 34 40 1 3 33.1 69 7 -11 -35 29 39 -25 46 10 -36 16 16 -25 1 44 0.15 - 88 0 0 -29 3 28 1 3 41.8 71 4 -12 -34 1 0 -24 12 36 -34 48 3 -23 27 49 0.15 - 87 0 0 -27 29 56 1 3 50.7 72 1 -14 -32 29 48 -22 36 56 -33 17 14 -21 51 50 0.15 - 86 0 0 -25 54 10 1 3 59.9 74 357 -15 -30 56 7 -20 59 19 -31 43 53 -20 13 56 0.15 - 85 0 0 -24 16 21 1 4 9.4 76 353 -16 -29 20 3 -19 19 53 -30 8 8 -18 34 17 0.15 - 84 0 0 -22 36 35 1 4 19.1 77 347 -17 -27 41 47 -17 38 50 -28 30 6 -16 53 2 0.15 - 83 0 0 -20 55 6 1 4 29.0 78 341 -19 -26 1 26 -15 56 22 -26 49 57 -15 10 25 0.15 - 82 0 0 -19 12 4 1 4 39.1 80 332 -20 -24 19 13 -14 12 40 -25 7 52 -13 26 38 0.15 - 81 0 0 -17 27 44 1 4 49.4 81 321 -21 -22 35 20 -12 27 59 -23 24 4 -11 41 54 0.15 - 80 0 0 -15 42 18 1 4 59.8 81 309 -22 -20 50 0 -10 42 34 -21 38 46 - 9 56 29 0.15 - 79 0 0 -13 56 2 1 5 10.3 81 295 -24 -19 3 28 - 8 56 38 -19 52 12 - 8 10 38 0.15 - 78 0 0 -12 9 12 1 5 20.9 81 282 -25 -17 16 0 - 7 10 28 -18 4 38 - 6 24 34 0.16 - 77 0 0 -10 22 2 1 5 31.4 80 271 -26 -15 27 52 - 5 24 18 -16 16 21 - 4 38 34 0.16 - 76 0 0 - 8 34 49 1 5 42.0 79 262 -27 -13 39 19 - 3 38 25 -14 27 36 - 2 52 52 0.16 - 75 0 0 - 6 47 48 1 5 52.5 78 254 -29 -11 50 39 - 1 53 1 -12 38 40 - 1 7 44 0.16 - 74 0 0 - 5 1 15 1 6 2.9 76 248 -30 -10 2 9 - 0 8 22 -10 49 50 0 36 37 0.16 - 73 0 0 - 3 15 25 1 6 13.2 74 244 -31 - 8 14 3 1 35 18 - 9 1 23 2 19 58 0.16 - 72 0 0 - 1 30 30 1 6 23.4 73 240 -32 - 6 26 37 3 17 48 - 7 13 33 4 2 5 0.16 - 71 0 0 0 13 15 1 6 33.4 71 237 -33 - 4 40 7 4 58 55 - 5 26 36 5 42 48 0.16 - 70 0 0 1 55 38 1 6 43.1 69 235 -34 - 2 54 45 6 38 29 - 3 40 45 7 21 56 0.16 - 69 0 0 3 36 29 1 6 52.7 67 233 -36 - 1 10 44 8 16 20 - 1 56 14 8 59 20 0.16 - 68 0 0 5 15 38 1 7 2.0 65 232 -37 0 31 44 9 52 20 - 0 13 14 10 34 52 0.16 - 67 0 0 6 52 56 1 7 11.0 64 231 -38 2 12 29 11 26 22 1 28 5 12 8 24 0.16 - 66 0 0 8 28 15 1 7 19.8 62 230 -38 3 51 22 12 58 20 3 7 33 13 39 51 0.16 - 65 0 0 10 1 30 1 7 28.2 60 229 -39 5 28 16 14 28 9 4 45 2 15 9 9 0.17 - 64 0 0 11 32 35 1 7 36.4 58 229 -40 7 3 3 15 55 45 6 20 26 16 36 13 0.17 - 63 0 0 13 1 27 1 7 44.2 56 228 -41 8 35 40 17 21 5 7 53 39 18 1 1 0.17 - 62 0 0 14 28 2 1 7 51.8 55 228 -42 10 6 1 18 44 7 9 24 37 19 23 31 0.17 - 61 0 0 15 52 18 1 7 59.0 53 228 -42 11 34 4 20 4 50 10 53 16 20 43 41 0.17 - 60 0 0 17 14 14 1 8 5.9 51 227 -43 12 59 46 21 23 13 12 19 35 22 1 33 0.17 - 59 0 0 18 33 50 1 8 12.6 50 227 -44 14 23 5 22 39 17 13 43 31 23 17 5 0.17 - 58 0 0 19 51 5 1 8 18.9 48 227 -44 15 44 3 23 53 2 15 5 4 24 30 18 0.17 - 57 0 0 21 6 0 1 8 25.0 47 227 -45 17 2 37 25 4 30 16 24 14 25 41 15 0.17 - 56 0 0 22 18 37 1 8 30.7 45 228 -45 18 18 50 26 13 43 17 41 2 26 49 56 0.17 - 55 0 0 23 28 57 1 8 36.2 44 228 -46 19 32 43 27 20 42 18 55 29 27 56 25 0.17 - 54 0 0 24 37 2 1 8 41.4 42 228 -46 20 44 16 28 25 29 20 7 36 29 0 42 0.17 - 53 0 0 25 42 54 1 8 46.4 41 228 -47 21 53 33 29 28 8 21 17 25 30 2 52 0.17 - 52 0 0 26 46 37 1 8 51.1 39 228 -47 23 0 35 30 28 41 22 25 0 31 2 57 0.17 - 51 0 0 27 48 12 1 8 55.5 38 229 -47 24 5 25 31 27 12 23 30 21 32 0 59 0.17 - 50 0 0 28 47 43 1 8 59.8 37 229 -47 25 8 6 32 23 42 24 33 33 32 57 2 0.17 - 49 0 0 29 45 13 1 9 3.8 35 230 -48 26 8 41 33 18 16 25 34 37 33 51 9 0.17 - 48 0 0 30 40 45 1 9 7.6 34 230 -48 27 7 13 34 10 57 26 33 38 34 43 23 0.17 - 47 0 0 31 34 22 1 9 11.2 33 230 -48 28 3 45 35 1 47 27 30 38 35 33 48 0.17 - 46 0 0 32 26 7 1 9 14.5 32 231 -48 28 58 20 35 50 49 28 25 40 36 22 26 0.17 - 45 0 0 33 16 4 1 9 17.8 31 231 -48 29 51 1 36 38 8 29 18 48 37 9 21 0.17 - 44 0 0 34 4 15 1 9 20.8 29 232 -48 30 41 52 37 23 47 30 10 5 37 54 36 0.17 - 43 0 0 34 50 44 1 9 23.6 28 232 -48 31 30 56 38 7 47 30 59 33 38 38 14 0.17 - 42 0 0 35 35 33 1 9 26.3 27 233 -48 32 18 15 38 50 13 31 47 17 39 20 18 0.17 - 41 0 0 36 18 47 1 9 28.9 26 233 -48 33 3 54 39 31 7 32 33 19 40 0 51 0.17 - 40 0 0 37 0 27 1 9 31.3 25 234 -48 33 47 55 40 10 32 33 17 42 40 39 56 0.17 - 39 0 0 37 40 37 1 9 33.5 24 235 -48 34 30 21 40 48 32 34 0 30 41 17 35 0.17 - 38 0 0 38 19 19 1 9 35.7 23 235 -48 35 11 15 41 25 8 34 41 45 41 53 51 0.17 - 37 0 0 38 56 37 1 9 37.6 22 236 -48 35 50 39 42 0 23 35 21 30 42 28 48 0.17 - 36 0 0 39 32 32 1 9 39.5 21 236 -48 36 28 37 42 34 20 35 59 47 43 2 27 0.17 - 35 0 0 40 7 8 1 9 41.3 20 237 -48 37 5 12 43 7 2 36 36 40 43 34 51 0.17 - 34 0 0 40 40 27 1 9 42.9 19 238 -48 37 40 25 43 38 30 37 12 12 44 6 3 0.17 - 33 0 0 41 12 31 1 9 44.5 18 238 -48 38 14 19 44 8 47 37 46 23 44 36 4 0.17 - 32 0 0 41 43 22 1 9 45.9 17 239 -48 38 46 56 44 37 56 38 19 18 45 4 57 0.17 - 31 0 0 42 13 3 1 9 47.2 16 240 -48 39 18 20 45 5 58 38 50 57 45 32 43 0.17 - 30 0 0 42 41 36 1 9 48.5 15 240 -48 39 48 31 45 32 55 39 21 25 45 59 26 0.17 - 29 0 0 43 9 2 1 9 49.7 15 241 -47 40 17 33 45 58 49 39 50 41 46 25 6 0.17 - 28 0 0 43 35 24 1 9 50.7 14 242 -47 40 45 26 46 23 43 40 18 50 46 49 46 0.17 - 27 0 0 44 0 44 1 9 51.8 13 242 -47 41 12 14 46 47 38 40 45 52 47 13 28 0.18 - 26 0 0 44 25 4 1 9 52.7 12 243 -47 41 37 58 47 10 35 41 11 49 47 36 13 0.18 - 25 0 0 44 48 24 1 9 53.5 11 244 -47 42 2 40 47 32 36 41 36 43 47 58 2 0.18 - 24 0 0 45 10 47 1 9 54.3 10 244 -47 42 26 21 47 53 44 42 0 37 48 18 58 0.18 - 23 0 0 45 32 14 1 9 55.0 10 245 -46 42 49 3 48 13 58 42 23 31 48 39 1 0.18 - 22 0 0 45 52 47 1 9 55.7 9 246 -46 43 10 48 48 33 21 42 45 27 48 58 14 0.18 - 21 0 0 46 12 28 1 9 56.3 8 247 -46 43 31 37 48 51 55 43 6 27 49 16 37 0.18 - 20 0 0 46 31 16 1 9 56.8 7 247 -46 43 51 32 49 9 39 43 26 32 49 34 11 0.18 - 19 0 0 46 49 15 1 9 57.3 7 248 -45 44 10 33 49 26 37 43 45 44 49 50 59 0.18 - 18 0 0 47 6 24 1 9 57.7 6 249 -45 44 28 43 49 42 47 44 4 3 50 7 1 0.18 - 17 0 0 47 22 46 1 9 58.0 5 249 -45 44 46 2 49 58 13 44 21 31 50 22 18 0.19 - 16 0 0 47 38 20 1 9 58.3 4 250 -45 45 2 31 50 12 54 44 38 9 50 36 51 0.19 - 15 0 0 47 53 9 1 9 58.6 4 251 -45 45 18 13 50 26 53 44 53 59 50 50 42 0.20 - 14 0 0 48 7 14 1 9 58.8 3 252 -44 45 33 6 50 40 9 45 9 0 51 3 50 0.20 - 13 0 0 48 20 34 1 9 59.0 2 252 -44 45 47 14 50 52 43 45 23 15 51 16 18 0.22 - 12 0 0 48 33 11 1 9 59.1 2 253 -44 46 0 36 51 4 37 45 36 44 51 28 5 0.24 - 11 0 0 48 45 7 1 9 59.1 1 254 -44 46 13 13 51 15 52 45 49 28 51 39 13 0.30 - 10 0 0 48 56 21 1 9 59.2 0 255 -43 46 25 6 .. .. .. 46 1 28 .. .. .. 0.99 - 9 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. 46 36 17 .. .. .. 46 12 44 .. .. .. .... Uncertainty in time = +/- 2 secs Prediction of 2023 Feb 15.9 Data for the target star ------------------------ * name: UCAC4-401-016407 * constellation : Monoceros * BCRS position with proper motion to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 06 45 35.0526 DE: -09 56 38.011 * GCRS Astrometric position with proper motion and parallax to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 06 45 35.0525 DE: -09 56 38.011 * position source: Gaia DR3 * standard error: RA,DE [mas]: (0.100,0.100) * V mag [mag]: 12.1 * Diameter [mas]: 0.00 * remarks: Data for the minor planet ------------------------- * general information: (number) name: (2) Pallas asteroid class: ShapeModel approx. diameter [km]: 532 approx. diameter ["]: 0.450 distance from Earth [AU]: 1.62830 asteroid position offset in RA [mas]: 0 asteroid position offset in DE [mas]: 0 * orbital information: orbit source: JPL#56 date of fit: 2023 Feb 07 source of used astrometry: MPC, JPL number of used observations: 0 number of rejected observations: 0 time covered by the observations: 1800 Jan 01 - 1800 Jan 01 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): 0.042", 0.015", 85.15° remarks: * orbital elements for (2)Pallas : Mean anomaly = 1.7073361808 deg Arg. of pericenter = 310.8657505333 deg Long. of node = 172.9183002331 deg Inclination = 34.9269483736 deg Eccentricity = 0.2301026512 Semimajor axis = 2.7696974036 AU Perihelion dist = 2.1323826881 AU Mag: H = 4.12, G = 0.11 Epoch of elements : MJD 60018.04520833 TDT (2023 Mar 15.0452) ------ occelmnt file for Occult BEGIN ----------------------------------- JPL#562023Feb07,24.71,2023,3,15,1.085237,0.129147,-0.079144,6.343112,10.362920,0.005224,0.000515,0.000000,-0.000001 -86.9938,-9.9705,166.00,-2.31,False UCAC4-401-016407,6.75973684,-9.9438919,0.00,12.10,0.00,0.0,0,,6.77802974,-9.9704577,0.03,0.00,0,0,1 2,Pallas,8.02,532.0,1.6283,0,0,2.320,55.96,,28.2,0 0,1.4838,2023,3,14,310.8658,172.9183,34.9269,0.23010,2.76970,2.13238,4.12,5.0,0.15 1.078,0.0420,0.0153,85,0.0350,Known errors,-1.00,-1,-1,-1 20230315_016407,59990.87 ------ occelmnt file for Occult END ----------------------------------- ============================================ Calculator (s): Steve Preston Date of update: 2023 Feb 15, 20:48 UT Steve Preston 7640 NE 32nd St Medina, WA 98039 stevepr@acm.org