IOTA/IOTA-ES occultation update for (471) Papagena / TYC 7393-00662-1 event on 2024 Jul 21, 03:46 UT Visible from Summary ------- On 2024 Jul 21 UT, the 127.032 km diameter asteroid (471) Papagena will occult a 12.0 mag star in the constellation Sagittarius for observers along a path across . In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 0.47 mag to 11.31 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 10.480 seconds. This update is based on, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by the IAU Minor Planet Center. This work has made use of data from the European Space Agency (ESA) mission Gaia (http://www.cosmos.esa.int/gaia), processed by the Gaia Data Processing and Analysis Consortium (DPAC, http://www.cosmos.esa.int/web/gaia/dpac/consortium). Funding for the DPAC has been provided by national institutions, in particular the institutions participating in the Gaia Multilateral Agreement. The event at a glimpse ---------------------- * Rank: 99 * date and approx. time of event: 2024 Jul 21, 03:40 - 2024 Jul 21, 03:51 * geocentric midpoint of event [JD]: 2460512.65702579 * magnitude of target star: 11.98 * magnitude drop [mag]: 0.47 * estimated maximum duration [s]: 10.480 * Moon: 100 % sunlit, 19° distance * Sun: 155° distance * rough path description: The occultation path -------------------- * approximate projected width [km]: 220 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [path widths]: +/- 0.25 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [seconds]: +/- 3.2 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval approx RA,DE ["]: (+/- 0.027, +/- 0.018) * 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): (0.027", 0.018", 105°) * approx speed of asteroid's shadow [km/s]: 12.1184 * website for maps: http://www.asteroidoccultation.com Path Coordinates: Occultation of TYC 7393-00662-1 by 471 Papagena on 2024 Jul 21 Centre Star Star Sun Path Limits Error Limits Alt E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Limit 1 Limit 2 Limit 3 Limit 4 Crn o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " Latitude Latitude Latitude Latitude -150 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 31 30 7 .... -149 0 0 32 43 29 3 51 9.9 0 127 13 .. .. .. 31 28 39 .. .. .. 30 52 38 .... -148 0 0 32 5 40 3 51 9.7 1 128 12 33 22 29 30 51 47 .. .. .. 30 16 11 -0.54 -147 0 0 31 28 57 3 51 9.3 2 128 11 32 44 46 30 15 58 33 23 28 29 40 47 -0.98 -146 0 0 30 53 21 3 51 8.5 3 129 10 32 8 12 29 41 14 32 46 22 29 6 27 -1.13 -145 0 0 30 18 50 3 51 7.5 4 129 9 31 32 46 29 7 33 32 10 27 28 33 8 -1.21 -144 0 0 29 45 25 3 51 6.1 5 130 8 30 58 29 28 34 55 31 35 41 28 0 52 -1.26 -143 0 0 29 13 5 3 51 4.5 6 130 7 30 25 19 28 3 19 31 2 5 27 29 37 -1.29 -142 0 0 28 41 50 3 51 2.6 7 131 6 29 53 16 27 32 47 30 29 36 26 59 24 -1.31 -141 0 0 28 11 38 3 51 0.4 8 131 5 29 22 19 27 3 16 29 58 15 26 30 12 -1.33 -140 0 0 27 42 30 3 50 58.0 9 132 4 28 52 28 26 34 47 29 28 1 26 2 1 -1.34 -139 0 0 27 14 25 3 50 55.4 10 132 3 28 23 42 26 7 19 28 58 54 25 34 50 -1.35 -138 0 0 26 47 23 3 50 52.4 11 133 2 27 56 1 25 40 51 28 30 52 25 8 39 -1.36 -137 0 0 26 21 22 3 50 49.3 12 133 1 27 29 24 25 15 25 28 3 55 24 43 28 -1.37 -136 0 0 25 56 24 3 50 45.9 13 134 0 27 3 51 24 50 58 27 38 3 24 19 15 -1.38 -135 0 0 25 32 26 3 50 42.3 14 134 -1 26 39 20 24 27 31 27 13 15 23 56 2 -1.38 -134 0 0 25 9 30 3 50 38.5 15 135 -2 26 15 52 24 5 3 26 49 31 23 33 48 -1.38 -133 0 0 24 47 33 3 50 34.4 16 135 -3 25 53 27 23 43 34 26 26 49 23 12 31 -1.39 -132 0 0 24 26 37 3 50 30.2 17 136 -4 25 32 2 23 23 3 26 5 10 22 52 13 -1.39 -131 0 0 24 6 40 3 50 25.7 17 136 -5 25 11 39 23 3 30 25 44 32 22 32 51 -1.39 -130 0 0 23 47 42 3 50 21.1 18 137 -6 24 52 16 22 44 56 25 24 57 22 14 27 -1.39 -129 0 0 23 29 43 3 50 16.2 19 137 -6 24 33 54 22 27 18 25 6 22 21 57 0 -1.40 -128 0 0 23 12 43 3 50 11.2 20 138 -7 24 16 31 22 10 38 24 48 47 21 40 29 -1.40 -127 0 0 22 56 40 3 50 6.0 21 138 -8 24 0 7 21 54 54 24 32 13 21 24 54 -1.40 -126 0 0 22 41 35 3 50 0.6 22 139 -9 23 44 43 21 40 7 24 16 38 21 10 15 -1.40 -125 0 0 22 27 27 3 49 55.0 22 140 -10 23 30 17 21 26 16 24 2 2 20 56 32 -1.40 -124 0 0 22 14 16 3 49 49.3 23 140 -11 23 16 49 21 13 20 23 48 26 20 43 44 -1.40 -123 0 0 22 2 2 3 49 43.5 24 141 -12 23 4 19 21 1 20 23 35 48 20 31 51 -1.40 -122 0 0 21 50 44 3 49 37.4 25 141 -13 22 52 47 20 50 15 23 24 8 20 20 52 -1.40 -121 0 0 21 40 22 3 49 31.3 25 142 -14 22 42 12 20 40 6 23 13 26 20 10 48 -1.40 -120 0 0 21 30 56 3 49 24.9 26 143 -15 22 32 34 20 30 51 23 3 42 20 1 38 -1.40 -119 0 0 21 22 25 3 49 18.5 27 143 -15 22 23 52 20 22 30 22 54 55 19 53 22 -1.41 -118 0 0 21 14 50 3 49 11.9 27 144 -16 22 16 8 20 15 4 22 47 5 19 46 0 -1.41 -117 0 0 21 8 10 3 49 5.2 28 145 -17 22 9 19 20 8 32 22 40 12 19 39 32 -1.41 -116 0 0 21 2 25 3 48 58.3 28 146 -18 22 3 27 20 2 54 22 34 15 19 33 57 -1.41 -115 0 0 20 57 35 3 48 51.4 29 146 -19 21 58 30 19 58 10 22 29 15 19 29 16 -1.41 -114 0 0 20 53 39 3 48 44.3 30 147 -20 21 54 29 19 54 19 22 25 12 19 25 27 -1.41 -113 0 0 20 50 38 3 48 37.1 30 148 -20 21 51 24 19 51 22 22 22 4 19 22 32 -1.41 -112 0 0 20 48 31 3 48 29.8 31 149 -21 21 49 14 19 49 18 22 19 52 19 20 30 -1.41 -111 0 0 20 47 19 3 48 22.4 31 149 -22 21 47 59 19 48 8 22 18 37 19 19 20 -1.41 -110 0 0 20 47 1 3 48 14.9 32 150 -23 21 47 40 19 47 50 22 18 17 19 19 3 -1.41 -109 0 0 20 47 36 3 48 7.3 32 151 -23 21 48 16 19 48 26 22 18 52 19 19 39 -1.41 -108 0 0 20 49 6 3 47 59.6 32 152 -24 21 49 46 19 49 55 22 20 24 19 21 8 -1.41 -107 0 0 20 51 30 3 47 51.9 33 153 -25 21 52 12 19 52 17 22 22 51 19 23 29 -1.41 -106 0 0 20 54 48 3 47 44.0 33 154 -26 21 55 33 19 55 32 22 26 13 19 26 43 -1.41 -105 0 0 20 59 0 3 47 36.1 33 155 -26 21 59 49 19 59 40 22 30 31 19 30 49 -1.41 -104 0 0 21 4 6 3 47 28.1 34 155 -27 22 5 0 20 4 41 22 35 45 19 35 48 -1.41 -103 0 0 21 10 6 3 47 20.0 34 156 -28 22 11 6 20 10 35 22 41 54 19 41 39 -1.41 -102 0 0 21 17 0 3 47 11.9 34 157 -28 22 18 8 20 17 23 22 49 0 19 48 23 -1.41 -101 0 0 21 24 48 3 47 3.7 34 158 -29 22 26 4 20 25 3 22 57 1 19 56 0 -1.41 -100 0 0 21 33 30 3 46 55.5 35 159 -29 22 34 56 20 33 36 23 5 57 20 4 29 -1.41 - 99 0 0 21 43 7 3 46 47.2 35 160 -30 22 44 43 20 43 3 23 15 50 20 13 52 -1.41 - 98 0 0 21 53 38 3 46 38.9 35 161 -31 22 55 26 20 53 24 23 26 40 20 24 7 -1.42 - 97 0 0 22 5 4 3 46 30.5 35 162 -31 23 7 5 21 4 38 23 38 25 20 35 15 -1.42 - 96 0 0 22 17 25 3 46 22.1 35 163 -32 23 19 40 21 16 45 23 51 7 20 47 17 -1.42 - 95 0 0 22 30 40 3 46 13.6 35 164 -32 23 33 10 21 29 47 24 4 46 21 0 12 -1.42 - 94 0 0 22 44 50 3 46 5.2 35 165 -33 23 47 37 21 43 42 24 19 21 21 14 0 -1.42 - 93 0 0 22 59 55 3 45 56.7 35 166 -33 24 3 0 21 58 31 24 34 53 21 28 41 -1.42 - 92 0 0 23 15 56 3 45 48.2 35 167 -33 24 19 19 22 14 14 24 51 22 21 44 16 -1.42 - 91 0 0 23 32 52 3 45 39.7 35 168 -34 24 36 35 22 30 52 25 8 49 22 0 45 -1.42 - 90 0 0 23 50 44 3 45 31.2 35 169 -34 24 54 49 22 48 24 25 27 14 22 18 8 -1.42 - 89 0 0 24 9 32 3 45 22.7 35 170 -34 25 14 0 23 6 51 25 46 37 22 36 25 -1.42 - 88 0 0 24 29 16 3 45 14.2 35 171 -35 25 34 8 23 26 13 26 6 58 22 55 37 -1.43 - 87 0 0 24 49 57 3 45 5.7 34 172 -35 25 55 14 23 46 30 26 28 18 23 15 43 -1.43 - 86 0 0 25 11 35 3 44 57.2 34 173 -35 26 17 19 24 7 43 26 50 37 23 36 44 -1.43 - 85 0 0 25 34 9 3 44 48.8 34 175 -35 26 40 22 24 29 51 27 13 56 23 58 40 -1.43 - 84 0 0 25 57 41 3 44 40.3 33 176 -36 27 4 24 24 52 55 27 38 14 24 21 32 -1.43 - 83 0 0 26 22 10 3 44 32.0 33 177 -36 27 29 26 25 16 55 28 3 32 24 45 18 -1.43 - 82 0 0 26 47 38 3 44 23.6 33 178 -36 27 55 27 25 41 52 28 29 51 25 10 1 -1.43 - 81 0 0 27 14 3 3 44 15.3 32 179 -36 28 22 28 26 7 45 28 57 11 25 35 39 -1.43 - 80 0 0 27 41 27 3 44 7.1 32 180 -36 28 50 29 26 34 36 29 25 33 26 2 14 -1.44 - 79 0 0 28 9 50 3 43 58.9 31 180 -36 29 19 31 27 2 23 29 54 56 26 29 45 -1.44 - 78 0 0 28 39 12 3 43 50.8 31 181 -36 29 49 35 27 31 8 30 25 21 26 58 12 -1.44 - 77 0 0 29 9 34 3 43 42.8 30 182 -36 30 20 40 28 0 50 30 56 49 27 27 37 -1.44 - 76 0 0 29 40 55 3 43 34.9 30 183 -36 30 52 46 28 31 31 31 29 20 27 57 58 -1.44 - 75 0 0 30 13 17 3 43 27.1 29 184 -36 31 25 55 29 3 9 32 2 55 28 29 17 -1.45 - 74 0 0 30 46 38 3 43 19.4 29 185 -36 32 0 8 29 35 46 32 37 34 29 1 33 -1.45 - 73 0 0 31 21 1 3 43 11.7 28 186 -35 32 35 23 30 9 21 33 13 18 29 34 47 -1.45 - 72 0 0 31 56 24 3 43 4.3 27 187 -35 33 11 41 30 43 55 33 50 6 30 8 58 -1.45 - 71 0 0 32 32 49 3 42 56.9 27 188 -35 33 49 4 31 19 28 34 28 1 30 44 7 -1.45 - 70 0 0 33 10 15 3 42 49.7 26 189 -34 34 27 31 31 56 0 35 7 1 31 20 15 -1.45 - 69 0 0 33 48 43 3 42 42.6 25 190 -34 35 7 3 32 33 31 35 47 8 31 57 20 -1.46 - 68 0 0 34 28 13 3 42 35.7 24 191 -34 35 47 41 33 12 2 36 28 23 32 35 24 -1.46 - 67 0 0 35 8 46 3 42 29.0 24 191 -33 36 29 24 33 51 32 37 10 45 33 14 26 -1.46 - 66 0 0 35 50 21 3 42 22.4 23 192 -33 37 12 14 34 32 2 37 54 15 33 54 26 -1.46 - 65 0 0 36 32 59 3 42 16.0 22 193 -32 37 56 10 35 13 32 38 38 55 34 35 25 -1.47 - 64 0 0 37 16 40 3 42 9.9 21 194 -32 38 41 13 35 56 1 39 24 44 35 17 22 -1.47 - 63 0 0 38 1 23 3 42 3.9 20 195 -31 39 27 24 36 39 30 40 11 43 36 0 17 -1.47 - 62 0 0 38 47 11 3 41 58.2 19 195 -30 40 14 42 37 23 58 40 59 52 36 44 11 -1.47 - 61 0 0 39 34 1 3 41 52.7 18 196 -30 41 3 9 38 9 26 41 49 13 37 29 2 -1.48 - 60 0 0 40 21 55 3 41 47.4 17 197 -29 41 52 44 38 55 53 42 39 46 38 14 50 -1.48 - 59 0 0 41 10 52 3 41 42.4 16 198 -28 42 43 28 39 43 19 43 31 31 39 1 36 -1.48 - 58 0 0 42 0 52 3 41 37.7 15 199 -28 43 35 22 40 31 43 44 24 29 39 49 18 -1.49 - 57 0 0 42 51 54 3 41 33.2 14 199 -27 44 28 24 41 21 6 45 18 40 40 37 57 -1.49 - 56 0 0 43 44 0 3 41 29.0 13 200 -26 45 22 37 42 11 26 46 14 6 41 27 31 -1.49 - 55 0 0 44 37 8 3 41 25.2 12 201 -25 46 17 59 43 2 44 47 10 47 42 18 0 -1.50 - 54 0 0 45 31 18 3 41 21.6 11 202 -24 47 14 32 43 54 57 48 8 43 43 9 24 -1.50 - 53 0 0 46 26 30 3 41 18.4 10 202 -23 48 12 15 44 48 6 49 7 56 44 1 40 -1.51 - 52 0 0 47 22 43 3 41 15.5 9 203 -22 49 11 9 45 42 10 50 8 26 44 54 48 -1.52 - 51 0 0 48 19 56 3 41 12.9 7 204 -21 50 11 13 46 37 7 51 10 14 45 48 48 -1.53 - 50 0 0 49 18 8 3 41 10.7 6 205 -20 51 12 29 47 32 57 52 13 21 46 43 37 -1.54 - 49 0 0 50 17 20 3 41 8.9 5 205 -19 52 14 55 48 29 36 53 17 47 47 39 13 -1.56 - 48 0 0 51 17 28 3 41 7.5 4 206 -18 53 18 31 49 27 6 54 23 34 48 35 36 -1.59 - 47 0 0 52 18 32 3 41 6.4 3 207 -17 54 23 19 50 25 22 .. .. .. 49 32 44 -1.65 - 46 0 0 53 20 31 3 41 5.7 2 208 -16 .. .. .. 51 24 24 .. .. .. 50 30 33 -1.80 - 45 0 0 54 23 23 3 41 5.4 0 209 -15 .. .. .. 52 24 8 .. .. .. 51 29 1 -2.83 - 44 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 53 24 33 .. .. .. 52 28 6 .... - 43 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 53 27 45 .... Uncertainty in time = +/- 3 secs Prediction of 2023 Jul 15.2 Data for the target star ------------------------ * name: TYC 7393-00662-1 * constellation : Sagittarius * BCRS position with proper motion to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 18 22 01.7786 DE: -30 31 51.914 * GCRS Astrometric position with proper motion and parallax to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 18 22 01.7786 DE: -30 31 51.914 * position source: Gaia DR3 * standard error: RA,DE [mas]: (0.200,0.100) * V mag [mag]: 12.0 * B mag [mag]: 12.3 * Diameter [mas]: 0.00 * remarks: Data for the minor planet ------------------------- * general information: (number) name: (471) Papagena asteroid class: approx. diameter [km]: 127 approx. diameter ["]: 0.084 distance from Earth [AU]: 2.09640 asteroid position offset in RA [mas]: 0 asteroid position offset in DE [mas]: 0 * orbital information: orbit source: JPL#122 date of fit: 2023 Apr 24 source of used astrometry: MPC, JPL number of used observations: 0 number of rejected observations: 0 time covered by the observations: 1800 Jan 01 - 1800 Jan 01 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): 0.027", 0.018", 104.956° remarks: * orbital elements for (471)Papagena : Mean anomaly = 268.8169357656 deg Arg. of pericenter = 315.8091680576 deg Long. of node = 83.7719894243 deg Inclination = 15.0189187253 deg Eccentricity = 0.2291070306 Semimajor axis = 2.8894531386 AU Perihelion dist = 2.2274591101 AU Mag: H = 6.71, G = 0.37 Epoch of elements : MJD 60512.15702609 TDT (2024 Jul 21.1570) ------ occelmnt file for Occult BEGIN ----------------------------------- JPL#1222023Apr24,10.48,2024,7,21,3.768619,-0.226238,0.784756,-6.572018,-1.895615,0.002224,0.000735,0.000001,0.000000 -80.0293,-30.5200,125.09,20.38,False TYC 7393-00662-1,18.36716074,-30.5310872,12.30,11.98,11.81,0.0,0,,18.39384675,-30.5199669,0.47,0.38,0,0,0 471,Papagena,11.31,127.032,2.0964,0,0,-2.132,-7.95,,6.6,0 0,268.7854,2024,7,21,315.8092,83.7720,15.0189,0.22911,2.88945,2.22746,6.72,5.0,0.15 1.248,0.0273,0.0177,105,0.0207,Known errors,0.72,0,-1,-1 20240721_0662-1,60140.21 ------ occelmnt file for Occult END ----------------------------------- ============================================ Calculator (s): Steve Preston Date of update: 2023 Jul 15, 05:05 UT Steve Preston 7640 NE 32nd St Medina, WA 98039 stevepr@acm.org