IOTA/IOTA-ES occultation update for (6076) Plavec / HIP 106154 event on 2024 Sep 14, 22:58 UT Visible from Summary ------- On 2024 Sep 14 UT, the 18.2455859627233 km diameter asteroid (6076) Plavec will occult a 9.0 mag star in the constellation Capricornus for observers along a path across . In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 8.05 mag to 17.02 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 2.610 seconds. This update is based on, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by the IAU Minor Planet Center. This work has made use of data from the European Space Agency (ESA) mission Gaia (http://www.cosmos.esa.int/gaia), processed by the Gaia Data Processing and Analysis Consortium (DPAC, http://www.cosmos.esa.int/web/gaia/dpac/consortium). Funding for the DPAC has been provided by national institutions, in particular the institutions participating in the Gaia Multilateral Agreement. The event at a glimpse ---------------------- * Rank: 83 * date and approx. time of event: 2024 Sep 14, 22:49 - 2024 Sep 14, 23:08 * geocentric midpoint of event [JD]: 2460568.45753909 * magnitude of target star: 8.97 * magnitude drop [mag]: 8.05 * estimated maximum duration [s]: 2.610 * Moon: 86 % sunlit, 12° distance * Sun: 147° distance * rough path description: The occultation path -------------------- * approximate projected width [km]: 30 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [path widths]: +/- 0.63 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [seconds]: +/- 2.8 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval approx RA,DE ["]: (+/- 0.017, +/- 0.004) * 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): (0.017", 0.004", 83°) * approx speed of asteroid's shadow [km/s]: 7.0968 * website for maps: http://www.asteroidoccultation.com Path Coordinates: Occultation of HIP 106154 by 6076 Plavec on 2024 Sep 14 Centre Star Star Sun Path Limits Error Limits Alt E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Limit 1 Limit 2 Limit 3 Limit 4 Crn o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " Latitude Latitude Latitude Latitude -103 0 0 16 28 55 23 7 58.2 0 107 25 16 37 41 16 20 10 16 48 49 16 9 10 .... -102 0 0 16 11 54 23 7 57.8 1 108 24 16 20 37 16 3 12 16 31 41 15 52 17 -0.78 -101 0 0 15 56 1 23 7 56.9 2 108 23 16 4 41 15 47 22 16 15 40 15 36 30 -1.01 -100 0 0 15 41 14 23 7 55.6 3 108 22 15 49 51 15 32 39 16 0 47 15 21 50 -1.10 - 99 0 0 15 27 34 23 7 53.9 4 109 21 15 36 8 15 19 1 15 47 0 15 8 16 -1.15 - 98 0 0 15 14 58 23 7 51.7 5 109 20 15 23 31 15 6 28 15 34 20 14 55 46 -1.19 - 97 0 0 15 3 28 23 7 49.2 6 109 19 15 11 58 14 55 0 15 22 44 14 44 21 -1.21 - 96 0 0 14 53 2 23 7 46.2 7 109 18 15 1 29 14 44 35 15 12 13 14 33 59 -1.22 - 95 0 0 14 43 39 23 7 42.8 8 110 17 14 52 5 14 35 14 15 2 46 14 24 40 -1.24 - 94 0 0 14 35 18 23 7 39.1 9 110 16 14 43 43 14 26 56 14 54 21 14 16 24 -1.24 - 93 0 0 14 28 1 23 7 34.9 10 110 15 14 36 23 14 19 40 14 47 0 14 9 9 -1.25 - 92 0 0 14 21 45 23 7 30.4 11 110 14 14 30 6 14 13 25 14 40 41 14 2 57 -1.26 - 91 0 0 14 16 30 23 7 25.5 12 111 13 14 24 50 14 8 12 14 35 23 13 57 45 -1.26 - 90 0 0 14 12 16 23 7 20.2 13 111 12 14 20 35 14 3 59 14 31 7 13 53 33 -1.26 - 89 0 0 14 9 3 23 7 14.6 14 111 11 14 17 21 14 0 47 14 27 52 13 50 22 -1.27 - 88 0 0 14 6 50 23 7 8.6 15 112 10 14 15 8 13 58 35 14 25 38 13 48 11 -1.27 - 87 0 0 14 5 37 23 7 2.2 16 112 9 14 13 54 13 57 22 14 24 24 13 46 59 -1.27 - 86 0 0 14 5 24 23 6 55.5 16 112 9 14 13 40 13 57 9 14 24 9 13 46 47 -1.27 - 85 0 0 14 6 10 23 6 48.5 17 113 8 14 14 26 13 57 55 14 24 55 13 47 33 -1.27 - 84 0 0 14 7 55 23 6 41.1 18 113 7 14 16 11 13 59 40 14 26 39 13 49 18 -1.27 - 83 0 0 14 10 39 23 6 33.3 19 113 6 14 18 55 14 2 24 14 29 23 13 52 2 -1.27 - 82 0 0 14 14 21 23 6 25.3 20 114 5 14 22 38 14 6 7 14 33 6 13 55 44 -1.27 - 81 0 0 14 19 2 23 6 16.9 21 114 4 14 27 19 14 10 47 14 37 48 14 0 24 -1.27 - 80 0 0 14 24 42 23 6 8.2 21 115 3 14 32 59 14 16 26 14 43 29 14 6 3 -1.27 - 79 0 0 14 31 19 23 5 59.2 22 115 2 14 39 37 14 23 3 14 50 8 14 12 39 -1.27 - 78 0 0 14 38 55 23 5 49.8 23 116 1 14 47 14 14 30 38 14 57 46 14 20 13 -1.27 - 77 0 0 14 47 29 23 5 40.2 24 116 0 14 55 49 14 39 11 15 6 22 14 28 45 -1.28 - 76 0 0 14 57 1 23 5 30.2 25 117 -1 15 5 22 14 48 42 15 15 56 14 38 15 -1.28 - 75 0 0 15 7 32 23 5 20.0 25 117 -2 15 15 54 14 59 11 15 26 30 14 48 42 -1.28 - 74 0 0 15 19 0 23 5 9.4 26 118 -3 15 27 23 15 10 38 15 38 1 15 0 7 -1.28 - 73 0 0 15 31 27 23 4 58.6 27 118 -3 15 39 52 15 23 3 15 50 31 15 12 30 -1.28 - 72 0 0 15 44 51 23 4 47.5 27 119 -4 15 53 18 15 36 26 16 4 0 15 25 51 -1.28 - 71 0 0 15 59 15 23 4 36.1 28 119 -5 16 7 43 15 50 48 16 18 28 15 40 10 -1.28 - 70 0 0 16 14 36 23 4 24.4 29 120 -6 16 23 7 16 6 7 16 33 54 15 55 27 -1.28 - 69 0 0 16 30 57 23 4 12.4 30 121 -7 16 39 30 16 22 25 16 50 20 16 11 43 -1.28 - 68 0 0 16 48 16 23 4 0.2 30 121 -8 16 56 51 16 39 42 17 7 44 16 28 56 -1.28 - 67 0 0 17 6 34 23 3 47.7 31 122 -9 17 15 12 16 57 58 17 26 8 16 47 9 -1.28 - 66 0 0 17 25 51 23 3 34.9 31 123 -10 17 34 31 17 17 12 17 45 31 17 6 20 -1.28 - 65 0 0 17 46 7 23 3 21.9 32 123 -11 17 54 51 17 37 26 18 5 55 17 26 29 -1.28 - 64 0 0 18 7 24 23 3 8.6 32 124 -11 18 16 10 17 58 39 18 27 18 17 47 39 -1.28 - 63 0 0 18 29 40 23 2 55.1 33 125 -12 18 38 30 18 20 52 18 49 42 18 9 47 -1.28 - 62 0 0 18 52 57 23 2 41.3 33 126 -13 19 1 50 18 44 5 19 13 7 18 32 56 -1.28 - 61 0 0 19 17 13 23 2 27.3 34 127 -14 19 26 11 19 8 18 19 37 32 18 57 5 -1.28 - 60 0 0 19 42 31 23 2 13.1 34 128 -15 19 51 32 19 33 32 20 2 59 19 22 14 -1.28 - 59 0 0 20 8 50 23 1 58.6 35 129 -16 20 17 56 19 59 46 20 29 27 19 48 23 -1.29 - 58 0 0 20 36 11 23 1 44.0 35 130 -16 20 45 21 20 27 3 20 56 58 20 15 34 -1.29 - 57 0 0 21 4 33 23 1 29.1 36 131 -17 21 13 48 20 55 21 21 25 31 20 43 47 -1.29 - 56 0 0 21 33 59 23 1 14.0 36 132 -18 21 43 18 21 24 41 21 55 8 21 13 1 -1.29 - 55 0 0 22 4 27 23 0 58.7 36 133 -19 22 13 52 21 55 4 22 25 48 21 43 17 -1.29 - 54 0 0 22 35 58 23 0 43.2 37 134 -19 22 45 28 22 26 30 22 57 32 22 14 37 -1.29 - 53 0 0 23 8 34 23 0 27.5 37 135 -20 23 18 10 22 59 0 23 30 20 22 46 59 -1.29 - 52 0 0 23 42 13 23 0 11.7 37 136 -21 23 51 55 23 32 34 24 4 14 23 20 26 -1.30 - 51 0 0 24 16 58 22 59 55.7 37 137 -22 24 26 46 24 7 12 24 39 13 23 54 56 -1.30 - 50 0 0 24 52 48 22 59 39.5 37 138 -22 25 2 43 24 42 55 25 15 18 24 30 31 -1.30 - 49 0 0 25 29 44 22 59 23.2 37 139 -23 25 39 46 25 19 44 25 52 30 25 7 12 -1.30 - 48 0 0 26 7 46 22 59 6.8 37 141 -23 26 17 56 25 57 40 26 30 50 25 44 58 -1.30 - 47 0 0 26 46 56 22 58 50.2 37 142 -24 26 57 14 26 36 42 27 10 17 26 23 51 -1.31 - 46 0 0 27 27 14 22 58 33.5 37 143 -25 27 37 40 27 16 52 27 50 54 27 3 50 -1.31 - 45 0 0 28 8 40 22 58 16.7 37 144 -25 28 19 15 27 58 9 28 32 40 27 44 57 -1.31 - 44 0 0 28 51 16 22 57 59.8 37 146 -26 29 1 59 28 40 36 29 15 37 28 27 13 -1.31 - 43 0 0 29 35 2 22 57 42.8 37 147 -26 29 45 55 29 24 12 29 59 44 29 10 37 -1.32 - 42 0 0 30 19 58 22 57 25.8 37 148 -27 30 31 1 30 8 58 30 45 4 29 55 11 -1.32 - 41 0 0 31 6 6 22 57 8.7 37 149 -27 31 17 19 30 54 56 31 31 36 30 40 55 -1.32 - 40 0 0 31 53 26 22 56 51.6 36 151 -28 32 4 51 31 42 5 32 19 22 31 27 50 -1.32 - 39 0 0 32 41 59 22 56 34.4 36 152 -28 32 53 36 32 30 26 33 8 23 32 15 57 -1.33 - 38 0 0 33 31 46 22 56 17.3 36 153 -28 33 43 36 33 20 1 33 58 39 33 5 17 -1.33 - 37 0 0 34 22 48 22 56 0.2 35 155 -29 34 34 52 34 10 50 34 50 13 33 55 50 -1.33 - 36 0 0 35 15 7 22 55 43.1 35 156 -29 35 27 25 35 2 54 35 43 4 34 47 37 -1.34 - 35 0 0 36 8 42 22 55 26.0 34 157 -29 36 21 15 35 56 14 36 37 14 35 40 38 -1.34 - 34 0 0 37 3 35 22 55 9.0 34 158 -30 37 16 24 36 50 52 37 32 44 36 34 56 -1.34 - 33 0 0 37 59 47 22 54 52.2 33 160 -30 38 12 54 37 46 47 38 29 36 37 30 31 -1.34 - 32 0 0 38 57 20 22 54 35.4 32 161 -30 39 10 45 38 44 2 39 27 51 38 27 24 -1.35 - 31 0 0 39 56 14 22 54 18.8 32 162 -30 40 9 59 39 42 37 40 27 31 39 25 36 -1.35 - 30 0 0 40 56 32 22 54 2.3 31 163 -30 41 10 37 40 42 34 41 28 37 40 25 7 -1.35 - 29 0 0 41 58 13 22 53 46.0 30 164 -30 42 12 42 41 43 54 42 31 11 41 26 0 -1.36 - 28 0 0 43 1 21 22 53 30.0 29 166 -30 43 16 14 42 46 38 43 35 15 42 28 15 -1.36 - 27 0 0 44 5 57 22 53 14.2 28 167 -30 44 21 16 43 50 48 44 40 51 43 31 54 -1.36 - 26 0 0 45 12 2 22 52 58.6 27 168 -29 45 27 50 44 56 25 45 48 2 44 36 58 -1.37 - 25 0 0 46 19 39 22 52 43.4 27 169 -29 46 35 57 46 3 32 46 56 51 45 43 29 -1.37 - 24 0 0 47 28 50 22 52 28.5 26 170 -29 47 45 42 47 12 11 48 7 20 46 51 29 -1.37 - 23 0 0 48 39 37 22 52 13.9 24 171 -29 48 57 7 48 22 23 49 19 34 48 0 58 -1.38 - 22 0 0 49 52 5 22 51 59.8 23 172 -28 50 10 14 49 34 12 50 33 35 49 12 0 -1.38 - 21 0 0 51 6 15 22 51 46.1 22 173 -28 51 25 9 50 47 39 51 49 30 50 24 36 -1.38 - 20 0 0 52 22 12 22 51 32.9 21 174 -27 52 41 56 52 2 49 53 7 24 51 38 50 -1.39 - 19 0 0 53 40 1 22 51 20.2 20 175 -26 54 0 40 53 19 45 54 27 23 52 54 44 -1.39 - 18 0 0 54 59 46 22 51 8.1 18 176 -26 55 21 29 54 38 32 55 49 36 54 12 22 -1.40 - 17 0 0 56 21 36 22 50 56.6 17 177 -25 56 44 30 55 59 16 57 14 15 55 31 47 -1.40 - 16 0 0 57 45 39 22 50 45.7 16 178 -24 58 9 54 57 22 3 58 41 32 56 53 6 -1.41 - 15 0 0 59 12 5 22 50 35.5 14 179 -23 59 37 55 58 47 2 60 11 46 58 16 25 -1.42 - 14 0 0 60 41 8 22 50 26.1 13 180 -22 61 8 50 60 14 23 61 45 20 59 41 50 -1.42 - 13 0 0 62 13 6 22 50 17.5 11 181 -21 62 43 3 61 44 21 63 22 50 61 9 33 -1.44 - 12 0 0 63 48 26 22 50 9.8 10 182 -20 64 21 9 63 17 15 65 5 5 62 39 46 -1.45 - 11 0 0 65 27 44 22 50 3.1 8 183 -19 66 4 1 64 53 31 66 53 27 64 12 47 -1.48 - 10 0 0 67 11 57 22 49 57.4 6 184 -18 67 53 0 66 33 50 68 50 14 65 49 1 -1.52 - 9 0 0 69 2 37 22 49 53.0 4 185 -16 69 50 31 68 19 10 71 0 12 67 29 5 -1.60 - 8 0 0 71 2 33 22 49 50.0 2 186 -14 72 1 43 70 11 14 .. .. .. 69 13 54 -1.86 - 7 0 0 73 18 9 22 49 48.8 0 187 -12 .. .. .. 72 13 16 .. .. .. 71 5 3 -17.47 - 6 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 73 5 35 .... Uncertainty in time = +/- 3 secs Prediction of 2023 Jul 15.6 Data for the target star ------------------------ * name: HIP 106154 * constellation : Capricornus * BCRS position with proper motion to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 21 30 07.2768 DE: -16 42 35.465 * GCRS Astrometric position with proper motion and parallax to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 21 30 07.2767 DE: -16 42 35.465 * position source: Gaia DR3 * standard error: RA,DE [mas]: (0.200,0.200) * V mag [mag]: 9.0 * B mag [mag]: 9.7 * Diameter [mas]: 0.20 * remarks: Data for the minor planet ------------------------- * general information: (number) name: (6076) Plavec asteroid class: approx. diameter [km]: 18 approx. diameter ["]: 0.014 distance from Earth [AU]: 1.78150 asteroid position offset in RA [mas]: 0 asteroid position offset in DE [mas]: 0 * orbital information: orbit source: JPL#45 date of fit: 2023 Apr 25 source of used astrometry: MPC, JPL number of used observations: 0 number of rejected observations: 0 time covered by the observations: 1800 Jan 01 - 1800 Jan 01 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): 0.017", 0.004", 83.31° remarks: * orbital elements for (6076)Plavec : Mean anomaly = 85.3534071791 deg Arg. of pericenter = 83.2501641162 deg Long. of node = 142.6901336740 deg Inclination = 8.1598454317 deg Eccentricity = 0.1756745172 Semimajor axis = 2.6392416584 AU Perihelion dist = 2.1755941542 AU Mag: H = 12.91, G = 0.15 Epoch of elements : MJD 60567.95753904 TDT (2024 Sep 14.9575) ------ occelmnt file for Occult BEGIN ----------------------------------- JPL#452023Apr25,2.61,2024,9,14,22.980938,-0.457970,0.647777,-3.270696,-2.312529,0.002853,0.001117,0.000001,0.000000 -16.2448,-16.6008,-165.90,2.93,False HIP 106154,21.50202134,-16.7098513,9.66,8.97,8.60,0.2,0,,21.52510873,-16.6008042,8.05,7.97,0,0,0 6076,Plavec,17.02,18.504,1.7815,0,0,-1.122,-11.41,,1.0,0 0,85.1333,2024,9,14,83.2502,142.6901,8.1598,0.17567,2.63924,2.17559,12.91,5.0,0.15 1.631,0.0173,0.0040,83,0.0090,Known errors,1.12,0,-1,-1 20240914_106154,60140.56 ------ occelmnt file for Occult END ----------------------------------- ============================================ Calculator (s): Steve Preston Date of update: 2023 Jul 15, 13:30 UT Steve Preston 7640 NE 32nd St Medina, WA 98039 stevepr@acm.org