IOTA/IOTA-ES occultation update for (14495) 1995 AK1 / TYC 4698-00609-1 event on 2024 Oct 05, 19:24 UT Visible from Summary ------- On 2024 Oct 05 UT, the 10.1862071770779 km diameter asteroid (14495) 1995 AK1 will occult a 9.8 mag star in the constellation Cetus for observers along a path across . In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 5.63 mag to 15.45 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 3.150 seconds. This update is based on, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by the IAU Minor Planet Center. This work has made use of data from the European Space Agency (ESA) mission Gaia (http://www.cosmos.esa.int/gaia), processed by the Gaia Data Processing and Analysis Consortium (DPAC, http://www.cosmos.esa.int/web/gaia/dpac/consortium). Funding for the DPAC has been provided by national institutions, in particular the institutions participating in the Gaia Multilateral Agreement. The event at a glimpse ---------------------- * Rank: 70 * date and approx. time of event: 2024 Oct 05, 18:51 - 2024 Oct 05, 19:57 * geocentric midpoint of event [JD]: 2460589.30882846 * magnitude of target star: 9.83 * magnitude drop [mag]: 5.63 * estimated maximum duration [s]: 3.150 * Moon: 8 % sunlit, 158° distance * Sun: 151° distance * rough path description: The occultation path -------------------- * approximate projected width [km]: 10 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [path widths]: +/- 0.84 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [seconds]: +/- 9.2 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval approx RA,DE ["]: (+/- 0.038, +/- 0.023) * 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): (0.044", 0.010", 61°) * approx speed of asteroid's shadow [km/s]: 3.2581 * website for maps: http://www.asteroidoccultation.com Path Coordinates: Occultation of TYC 4698-00609-1 by 14495 1995 AK1 on 2024 Oct 5 Centre Star Star Sun Path Limits Error Limits Alt E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Limit 1 Limit 2 Limit 3 Limit 4 Crn o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " Latitude Latitude Latitude Latitude - 4 0 0 -12 54 41 19 57 1.3 1 92 -26 -12 51 52 -12 57 29 -12 47 10 -13 2 11 .... - 3 0 0 -12 56 5 19 57 0.5 2 91 -27 -12 53 17 -12 58 54 -12 48 35 -13 3 36 -0.10 - 2 0 0 -12 57 8 19 56 59.1 3 91 -28 -12 54 20 -12 59 57 -12 49 38 -13 4 38 -0.11 - 1 0 0 -12 57 50 19 56 57.1 4 91 -29 -12 55 2 -13 0 38 -12 50 20 -13 5 20 -0.12 0 0 0 -12 58 10 19 56 54.6 5 91 -30 -12 55 22 -13 0 58 -12 50 40 -13 5 40 -0.12 1 0 0 -12 58 9 19 56 51.6 6 91 -31 -12 55 21 -13 0 57 -12 50 39 -13 5 39 -0.12 2 0 0 -12 57 47 19 56 48.0 7 90 -32 -12 54 58 -13 0 35 -12 50 17 -13 5 16 -0.12 3 0 0 -12 57 3 19 56 43.8 8 90 -33 -12 54 15 -12 59 52 -12 49 34 -13 4 33 -0.12 4 0 0 -12 56 0 19 56 39.2 9 90 -34 -12 53 11 -12 58 48 -12 48 30 -13 3 29 -0.12 5 0 0 -12 54 35 19 56 33.9 10 90 -34 -12 51 47 -12 57 23 -12 47 5 -13 2 5 -0.12 6 0 0 -12 52 50 19 56 28.2 11 89 -35 -12 50 2 -12 55 38 -12 45 20 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29 31 19 4 27.5 51 243 -28 18 32 27 18 26 35 18 37 21 18 21 41 -0.16 134 0 0 18 46 7 19 4 3.7 50 243 -27 18 49 3 18 43 11 18 53 57 18 38 17 -0.16 135 0 0 19 2 33 19 3 40.3 49 244 -26 19 5 29 18 59 37 19 10 23 18 54 44 -0.16 136 0 0 19 18 49 19 3 17.2 48 244 -25 19 21 44 19 15 53 19 26 38 19 11 0 -0.16 137 0 0 19 34 54 19 2 54.5 47 245 -25 19 37 49 19 31 58 19 42 43 19 27 5 -0.16 138 0 0 19 50 48 19 2 32.1 46 245 -24 19 53 43 19 47 53 19 58 37 19 42 59 -0.16 139 0 0 20 6 31 19 2 10.1 45 245 -23 20 9 26 20 3 36 20 14 19 19 58 43 -0.16 140 0 0 20 22 3 19 1 48.4 44 246 -22 20 24 58 20 19 8 20 29 51 20 14 15 -0.16 141 0 0 20 37 23 19 1 27.1 44 246 -21 20 40 18 20 34 28 20 45 10 20 29 35 -0.16 142 0 0 20 52 31 19 1 6.1 43 247 -20 20 55 26 20 49 36 21 0 19 20 44 44 -0.16 143 0 0 21 7 28 19 0 45.5 42 247 -19 21 10 22 21 4 33 21 15 15 20 59 41 -0.16 144 0 0 21 22 12 19 0 25.3 41 248 -19 21 25 6 21 19 17 21 29 58 21 14 26 -0.16 145 0 0 21 36 44 19 0 5.5 40 248 -18 21 39 38 21 33 49 21 44 30 21 28 58 -0.16 146 0 0 21 51 3 18 59 46.0 39 248 -17 21 53 57 21 48 9 21 58 49 21 43 17 -0.16 147 0 0 22 5 9 18 59 27.0 38 249 -16 22 8 3 22 2 15 22 12 55 21 57 24 -0.16 148 0 0 22 19 2 18 59 8.3 37 249 -15 22 21 56 22 16 8 22 26 47 22 11 18 -0.16 149 0 0 22 32 42 18 58 50.0 36 250 -14 22 35 36 22 29 49 22 40 27 22 24 58 -0.16 150 0 0 22 46 9 18 58 32.1 36 250 -13 22 49 3 22 43 15 22 53 53 22 38 25 -0.16 151 0 0 22 59 22 18 58 14.6 35 250 -13 23 2 15 22 56 28 23 7 6 22 51 38 -0.16 152 0 0 23 12 21 18 57 57.5 34 251 -12 23 15 14 23 9 28 23 20 4 23 4 38 -0.16 153 0 0 23 25 6 18 57 40.8 33 251 -11 23 27 59 23 22 13 23 32 49 23 17 23 -0.16 154 0 0 23 37 37 18 57 24.5 32 252 -10 23 40 30 23 34 44 23 45 19 23 29 55 -0.16 155 0 0 23 49 53 18 57 8.6 31 252 -9 23 52 46 23 47 1 23 57 36 23 42 12 -0.16 156 0 0 24 1 55 18 56 53.1 30 253 -8 24 4 48 23 59 3 24 9 37 23 54 14 -0.16 157 0 0 24 13 43 18 56 38.0 29 253 -7 24 16 35 24 10 50 24 21 24 24 6 2 -0.16 158 0 0 24 25 15 18 56 23.3 29 253 -7 24 28 7 24 22 23 24 32 56 24 17 34 -0.16 159 0 0 24 36 32 18 56 9.1 28 254 -6 24 39 24 24 33 40 24 44 13 24 28 52 -0.16 160 0 0 24 47 34 18 55 55.3 27 254 -5 24 50 26 24 44 42 24 55 14 24 39 54 -0.16 161 0 0 24 58 21 18 55 41.8 26 255 -4 25 1 13 24 55 29 25 6 0 24 50 41 -0.16 162 0 0 25 8 52 18 55 28.9 25 255 -3 25 11 44 25 6 0 25 16 31 25 1 13 -0.16 163 0 0 25 19 7 18 55 16.3 24 256 -2 25 21 59 25 16 16 25 26 46 25 11 29 -0.16 164 0 0 25 29 7 18 55 4.1 23 256 -2 25 31 58 25 26 15 25 36 45 25 21 29 -0.15 165 0 0 25 38 50 18 54 52.4 22 256 -1 25 41 42 25 35 59 25 46 28 25 31 13 -0.15 166 0 0 25 48 18 18 54 41.1 22 257 0 25 51 9 25 45 26 25 55 55 25 40 40 -0.15 167 0 0 25 57 29 18 54 30.3 21 257 1 26 0 20 25 54 38 26 5 6 25 49 52 -0.15 168 0 0 26 6 23 18 54 19.9 20 258 2 26 9 14 26 3 32 26 14 0 25 58 47 -0.15 169 0 0 26 15 1 18 54 9.9 19 258 3 26 17 52 26 12 10 26 22 37 26 7 25 -0.15 170 0 0 26 23 22 18 54 0.3 18 259 3 26 26 13 26 20 32 26 30 58 26 15 46 -0.15 171 0 0 26 31 26 18 53 51.2 17 259 4 26 34 17 26 28 36 26 39 2 26 23 51 -0.15 172 0 0 26 39 14 18 53 42.5 16 259 5 26 42 4 26 36 24 26 46 49 26 31 39 -0.15 173 0 0 26 46 44 18 53 34.3 15 260 6 26 49 34 26 43 54 26 54 19 26 39 9 -0.15 174 0 0 26 53 57 18 53 26.5 15 260 7 26 56 47 26 51 7 27 1 31 26 46 23 -0.15 175 0 0 27 0 52 18 53 19.1 14 261 8 27 3 42 26 58 2 27 8 26 26 53 18 -0.15 176 0 0 27 7 30 18 53 12.2 13 261 8 27 10 20 27 4 40 27 15 4 26 59 57 -0.15 177 0 0 27 13 50 18 53 5.7 12 262 9 27 16 40 27 11 1 27 21 24 27 6 17 -0.15 178 0 0 27 19 53 18 52 59.7 11 262 10 27 22 42 27 17 3 27 27 26 27 12 20 -0.15 179 0 0 27 25 37 18 52 54.1 10 263 11 27 28 27 27 22 48 27 33 10 27 18 5 -0.15 180 0 0 27 31 4 18 52 49.0 9 263 12 27 33 53 27 28 15 27 38 36 27 23 31 -0.15 -179 0 0 27 36 12 18 52 44.3 9 263 13 27 39 1 27 33 23 27 43 44 27 28 40 -0.15 -178 0 0 27 41 2 18 52 40.0 8 264 13 27 43 51 27 38 13 27 48 34 27 33 30 -0.15 -177 0 0 27 45 34 18 52 36.3 7 264 14 27 48 23 27 42 45 27 53 5 27 38 2 -0.15 -176 0 0 27 49 47 18 52 33.0 6 265 15 27 52 36 27 46 58 27 57 18 27 42 16 -0.15 -175 0 0 27 53 41 18 52 30.1 5 265 16 27 56 30 27 50 52 28 1 12 27 46 10 -0.15 -174 0 0 27 57 17 18 52 27.7 4 266 17 28 0 5 27 54 28 28 4 48 27 49 46 -0.15 -173 0 0 28 0 33 18 52 25.7 3 266 18 28 3 22 27 57 45 28 8 4 27 53 3 -0.15 -172 0 0 28 3 31 18 52 24.3 2 267 18 28 6 20 28 0 43 28 11 2 27 56 1 -0.16 -171 0 0 28 6 10 18 52 23.2 1 267 19 28 8 58 28 3 21 28 13 40 27 58 40 -0.17 -170 0 0 28 8 29 18 52 22.7 1 268 20 28 11 17 28 5 41 28 15 59 28 0 59 -0.22 Uncertainty in time = +/- 9 secs Prediction of 2023 Jul 15.6 Data for the target star ------------------------ * name: TYC 4698-00609-1 * constellation : Cetus * BCRS position with proper motion to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 02 37 30.3515 DE: -01 57 13.931 * GCRS Astrometric position with proper motion and parallax to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 02 37 30.3516 DE: -01 57 13.931 * position source: Gaia DR3 * standard error: RA,DE [mas]: (0.200,0.200) * V mag [mag]: 9.8 * B mag [mag]: 10.4 * Diameter [mas]: 0.10 * remarks: Data for the minor planet ------------------------- * general information: (number) name: (14495) 1995 AK1 asteroid class: approx. diameter [km]: 10 approx. diameter ["]: 0.015 distance from Earth [AU]: 0.96230 asteroid position offset in RA [mas]: 0 asteroid position offset in DE [mas]: 0 * orbital information: orbit source: JPL#42 date of fit: 2022 Nov 24 source of used astrometry: MPC, JPL number of used observations: 0 number of rejected observations: 0 time covered by the observations: 1800 Jan 01 - 1800 Jan 01 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): 0.044", 0.010", 60.631° remarks: * orbital elements for (14495)1995 AK1 : Mean anomaly = 341.2874690275 deg Arg. of pericenter = 339.2854082273 deg Long. of node = 81.2584589727 deg Inclination = 9.7826608847 deg Eccentricity = 0.3180073652 Semimajor axis = 2.6538000441 AU Perihelion dist = 1.8098720843 AU Mag: H = 13.32, G = 0.15 Epoch of elements : MJD 60588.80882391 TDT (2024 Oct 05.8088) ------ occelmnt file for Occult BEGIN ----------------------------------- JPL#422022Nov24,3.15,2024,10,5,19.411883,-0.046062,0.123607,-1.723526,-0.641360,-0.002383,0.000620,0.000001,0.000001 93.5576,-1.8438,-114.13,-5.15,False TYC 4698-00609-1,2.62509762,-1.9538695,10.35,9.83,9.55,0.1,0,,2.64633008,-1.8438326,5.63,5.46,0,0,0 14495,1995 AK1,15.45,10.256,0.9623,0,0,-1.052,-5.86,,1.2,0 0,341.1031,2024,10,5,339.2854,81.2585,9.7827,0.31801,2.65380,1.80987,13.32,5.0,0.15 1.837,0.0437,0.0103,61,0.0123,Known errors,1.11,0,-1,-1 20241005_0609-1,60140.61 ------ occelmnt file for Occult END ----------------------------------- ============================================ Calculator (s): Steve Preston Date of update: 2023 Jul 15, 14:42 UT Steve Preston 7640 NE 32nd St Medina, WA 98039 stevepr@acm.org