IOTA/IOTA-ES occultation update for (238) Hypatia / TYC 763-00661-1 event on 2024 Oct 14, 07:15 UT Visible from Summary ------- On 2024 Oct 14 UT, the 153.767 km diameter asteroid (238) Hypatia will occult a 11.6 mag star in the constellation Canis Minor for observers along a path across . In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 1.94 mag to 13.37 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 9.050 seconds. This update is based on, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by the IAU Minor Planet Center. This work has made use of data from the European Space Agency (ESA) mission Gaia (http://www.cosmos.esa.int/gaia), processed by the Gaia Data Processing and Analysis Consortium (DPAC, http://www.cosmos.esa.int/web/gaia/dpac/consortium). Funding for the DPAC has been provided by national institutions, in particular the institutions participating in the Gaia Multilateral Agreement. The event at a glimpse ---------------------- * Rank: 100 * date and approx. time of event: 2024 Oct 14, 07:08 - 2024 Oct 14, 07:21 * geocentric midpoint of event [JD]: 2460597.80227000 * magnitude of target star: 11.63 * magnitude drop [mag]: 1.94 * estimated maximum duration [s]: 9.050 * Moon: 85 % sunlit, 132° distance * Sun: 90° distance * rough path description: The occultation path -------------------- * approximate projected width [km]: 155 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [path widths]: +/- 0.06 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [seconds]: +/- 1.2 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval approx RA,DE ["]: (+/- 0.012, +/- 0.002) * 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): (0.012", 0.002", 94°) * approx speed of asteroid's shadow [km/s]: 16.9868 * website for maps: http://www.asteroidoccultation.com Path Coordinates: Occultation of TYC 763-00661-1 by 238 Hypatia on 2024 Oct 14 Centre Star Star Sun Path Limits Error Limits Alt E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Limit 1 Limit 2 Limit 3 Limit 4 Crn o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " Latitude Latitude Latitude Latitude -115 0 0 34 43 52 7 9 4.0 1 80 -63 34 1 16 35 26 31 33 55 50 35 31 59 .... -114 0 0 34 52 30 7 9 4.1 1 81 -63 34 9 59 35 35 6 34 4 32 35 40 33 -0.13 -113 0 0 35 0 44 7 9 4.3 2 81 -63 34 18 16 35 43 16 34 12 50 35 48 42 -0.13 -112 0 0 35 8 31 7 9 4.6 3 82 -63 34 26 7 35 51 0 34 20 41 35 56 27 -0.13 -111 0 0 35 15 54 7 9 4.9 4 82 -63 34 33 33 35 58 19 34 28 8 36 3 45 -0.13 -110 0 0 35 22 51 7 9 5.3 5 83 -63 34 40 33 36 5 13 34 35 8 36 10 39 -0.13 -109 0 0 35 29 23 7 9 5.8 6 83 -63 34 47 8 36 11 42 34 41 43 36 17 8 -0.13 -108 0 0 35 35 30 7 9 6.4 6 84 -63 34 53 17 36 17 46 34 47 53 36 23 11 -0.13 -107 0 0 35 41 11 7 9 7.0 7 85 -63 34 59 1 36 23 25 34 53 37 36 28 50 -0.13 -106 0 0 35 46 28 7 9 7.7 8 85 -62 35 4 20 36 28 39 34 58 56 36 34 4 -0.13 -105 0 0 35 51 19 7 9 8.5 9 86 -62 35 9 13 36 33 28 35 3 50 36 38 52 -0.13 -104 0 0 35 55 45 7 9 9.4 10 86 -62 35 13 41 36 37 52 35 8 18 36 43 16 -0.13 -103 0 0 35 59 46 7 9 10.4 10 87 -62 35 17 44 36 41 51 35 12 21 36 47 15 -0.13 -102 0 0 36 3 21 7 9 11.4 11 87 -61 35 21 21 36 45 25 35 15 59 36 50 49 -0.13 -101 0 0 36 6 32 7 9 12.5 12 88 -61 35 24 34 36 48 35 35 19 11 36 53 58 -0.13 -100 0 0 36 9 18 7 9 13.7 13 89 -61 35 27 20 36 51 19 35 21 59 36 56 42 -0.13 - 99 0 0 36 11 38 7 9 14.9 14 89 -60 35 29 42 36 53 38 35 24 20 36 59 1 -0.13 - 98 0 0 36 13 34 7 9 16.2 15 90 -60 35 31 39 36 55 33 35 26 17 37 0 56 -0.13 - 97 0 0 36 15 4 7 9 17.6 15 90 -59 35 33 10 36 57 3 35 27 48 37 2 25 -0.12 - 96 0 0 36 16 10 7 9 19.1 16 91 -59 35 34 16 36 58 8 35 28 54 37 3 30 -0.12 - 95 0 0 36 16 50 7 9 20.6 17 92 -59 35 34 57 36 58 48 35 29 35 37 4 10 -0.12 - 94 0 0 36 17 5 7 9 22.2 18 92 -58 35 35 12 36 59 3 35 29 50 37 4 25 -0.12 - 93 0 0 36 16 56 7 9 23.9 19 93 -58 35 35 2 36 58 53 35 29 41 37 4 15 -0.12 - 92 0 0 36 16 21 7 9 25.6 19 93 -57 35 34 27 36 58 18 35 29 5 37 3 40 -0.12 - 91 0 0 36 15 20 7 9 27.5 20 94 -57 35 33 26 36 57 18 35 28 5 37 2 41 -0.12 - 90 0 0 36 13 55 7 9 29.4 21 95 -56 35 32 0 36 55 53 35 26 39 37 1 16 -0.12 - 89 0 0 36 12 4 7 9 31.3 22 95 -56 35 30 9 36 54 3 35 24 47 36 59 26 -0.12 - 88 0 0 36 9 48 7 9 33.4 23 96 -55 35 27 52 36 51 48 35 22 30 36 57 11 -0.12 - 87 0 0 36 7 7 7 9 35.5 24 97 -55 35 25 9 36 49 8 35 19 47 36 54 31 -0.12 - 86 0 0 36 4 0 7 9 37.7 24 97 -54 35 22 1 36 46 3 35 16 39 36 51 26 -0.12 - 85 0 0 36 0 28 7 9 40.0 25 98 -54 35 18 28 36 42 33 35 13 5 36 47 56 -0.12 - 84 0 0 35 56 31 7 9 42.3 26 98 -53 35 14 28 36 38 37 35 9 6 36 44 0 -0.12 - 83 0 0 35 52 8 7 9 44.7 27 99 -53 35 10 3 36 34 15 35 4 40 36 39 39 -0.12 - 82 0 0 35 47 19 7 9 47.2 28 100 -52 35 5 12 36 29 29 34 59 49 36 34 53 -0.12 - 81 0 0 35 42 4 7 9 49.8 28 100 -51 34 59 56 36 24 17 34 54 32 36 29 41 -0.12 - 80 0 0 35 36 24 7 9 52.4 29 101 -51 34 54 13 36 18 39 34 48 49 36 24 4 -0.12 - 79 0 0 35 30 18 7 9 55.1 30 101 -50 34 48 4 36 12 35 34 42 40 36 18 0 -0.12 - 78 0 0 35 23 46 7 9 57.9 31 102 -50 34 41 29 36 6 6 34 36 5 36 11 32 -0.12 - 77 0 0 35 16 48 7 10 0.8 32 103 -49 34 34 28 35 59 11 34 29 3 36 4 37 -0.12 - 76 0 0 35 9 23 7 10 3.7 33 103 -48 34 27 0 35 51 50 34 21 35 35 57 16 -0.12 - 75 0 0 35 1 33 7 10 6.7 33 104 -48 34 19 7 35 44 3 34 13 41 35 49 30 -0.12 - 74 0 0 34 53 16 7 10 9.8 34 105 -47 34 10 46 35 35 50 34 5 20 35 41 17 -0.12 - 73 0 0 34 44 33 7 10 13.0 35 105 -46 34 1 59 35 27 10 33 56 33 35 32 38 -0.12 - 72 0 0 34 35 23 7 10 16.3 36 106 -46 33 52 45 35 18 5 33 47 18 35 23 33 -0.12 - 71 0 0 34 25 47 7 10 19.6 37 106 -45 33 43 5 35 8 32 33 37 37 35 14 1 -0.12 - 70 0 0 34 15 44 7 10 23.0 38 107 -44 33 32 58 34 58 34 33 27 29 35 4 3 -0.12 - 69 0 0 34 5 14 7 10 26.5 38 108 -44 33 22 23 34 48 8 33 16 55 34 53 38 -0.12 - 68 0 0 33 54 17 7 10 30.1 39 108 -43 33 11 22 34 37 16 33 5 53 34 42 46 -0.12 - 67 0 0 33 42 53 7 10 33.7 40 109 -42 32 59 53 34 25 57 32 54 23 34 31 28 -0.12 - 66 0 0 33 31 2 7 10 37.5 41 110 -41 32 47 57 34 14 11 32 42 27 34 19 42 -0.12 - 65 0 0 33 18 44 7 10 41.3 42 110 -41 32 35 34 34 1 58 32 30 3 34 7 30 -0.12 - 64 0 0 33 5 58 7 10 45.2 43 111 -40 32 22 43 33 49 17 32 17 11 33 54 50 -0.12 - 63 0 0 32 52 45 7 10 49.2 44 112 -39 32 9 25 33 36 10 32 3 52 33 41 43 -0.12 - 62 0 0 32 39 5 7 10 53.3 45 112 -38 31 55 39 33 22 35 31 50 5 33 28 9 -0.12 - 61 0 0 32 24 57 7 10 57.4 45 113 -38 31 41 25 33 8 32 31 35 51 33 14 7 -0.12 - 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Uncertainty in time = +/- 1 secs Prediction of 2023 Jul 15.6 Data for the target star ------------------------ * name: TYC 763-00661-1 * constellation : Canis Minor * BCRS position with proper motion to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 07 21 58.9764 DE: +08 39 36.625 * GCRS Astrometric position with proper motion and parallax to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 07 21 58.9765 DE: +08 39 36.625 * position source: Gaia DR3 * standard error: RA,DE [mas]: (0.100,0.100) * V mag [mag]: 11.6 * B mag [mag]: 12.2 * Diameter [mas]: 0.00 * remarks: Data for the minor planet ------------------------- * general information: (number) name: (238) Hypatia asteroid class: approx. diameter [km]: 154 approx. diameter ["]: 0.083 distance from Earth [AU]: 2.54820 asteroid position offset in RA [mas]: 0 asteroid position offset in DE [mas]: 0 * orbital information: orbit source: JPL#103 date of fit: 2022 Nov 26 source of used astrometry: MPC, JPL number of used observations: 0 number of rejected observations: 0 time covered by the observations: 1800 Jan 01 - 1800 Jan 01 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): 0.012", 0.002", 94.146° remarks: * orbital elements for (238)Hypatia : Mean anomaly = 47.1098468535 deg Arg. of pericenter = 209.8335056887 deg Long. of node = 183.8002547008 deg Inclination = 12.4025788027 deg Eccentricity = 0.0918656131 Semimajor axis = 2.9078723790 AU Perihelion dist = 2.6407389000 AU Mag: H = 8.11, G = 0.15 Epoch of elements : MJD 60597.30226870 TDT (2024 Oct 14.3023) ------ occelmnt file for Occult BEGIN ----------------------------------- JPL#1032022Nov26,9.05,2024,10,14,7.254480,0.058443,0.111115,8.491110,-4.452842,-0.005675,0.000848,0.000000,0.000000 -21.3152,8.6153,67.67,-8.36,False TYC 763-00661-1,7.36638232,8.6601736,12.17,11.63,11.34,0.0,0,,7.38884446,8.6153465,1.94,1.81,0,0,0 238,Hypatia,13.37,153.767,2.5482,0,0,1.976,-15.37,,7.6,0 0,47.0498,2024,10,14,209.8335,183.8003,12.4026,0.09187,2.90787,2.64074,8.11,5.0,0.15 1.064,0.0123,0.0022,94,0.0053,Known errors,0.95,0,-1,-1 20241014_0661-1,60140.63 ------ occelmnt file for Occult END ----------------------------------- ============================================ Calculator (s): Steve Preston Date of update: 2023 Jul 15, 15:11 UT Steve Preston 7640 NE 32nd St Medina, WA 98039 stevepr@acm.org