IOTA/IOTA-ES occultation update for (3200) Phaethon / UCAC4 648-023963 event on 2024 Nov 02, 17:45 UT Visible from Summary ------- On 2024 Nov 02 UT, the 5.01578529510534 km diameter asteroid (3200) Phaethon will occult a 11.5 mag star in the constellation Auriga for observers along a path across . In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 5.82 mag to 17.34 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 0.340 seconds. This update is based on, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by the IAU Minor Planet Center. This work has made use of data from the European Space Agency (ESA) mission Gaia (http://www.cosmos.esa.int/gaia), processed by the Gaia Data Processing and Analysis Consortium (DPAC, http://www.cosmos.esa.int/web/gaia/dpac/consortium). Funding for the DPAC has been provided by national institutions, in particular the institutions participating in the Gaia Multilateral Agreement. The event at a glimpse ---------------------- * Rank: 99 * date and approx. time of event: 2024 Nov 02, 17:39 - 2024 Nov 02, 17:51 * geocentric midpoint of event [JD]: 2460617.23989563 * magnitude of target star: 11.53 * magnitude drop [mag]: 5.82 * estimated maximum duration [s]: 0.340 * Moon: 1 % sunlit, 153° distance * Sun: 140° distance * rough path description: The occultation path -------------------- * approximate projected width [km]: 6 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [path widths]: +/- 0.19 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [seconds]: +/- 0.2 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval approx RA,DE ["]: (+/- 0.003, +/- 0.001) * 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): (0.003", 0.001", 93°) * approx speed of asteroid's shadow [km/s]: 15.1814 * website for maps: http://www.asteroidoccultation.com Path Coordinates: Occultation of UCAC4 648-023963 by 3200 Phaethon on 2024 Nov 2 Centre Star Star Sun Path Limits Error Limits Alt E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Limit 1 Limit 2 Limit 3 Limit 4 Crn o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " Latitude Latitude Latitude Latitude 8 0 0 29 51 10 17 51 17.4 1 44 -16 29 53 35 29 48 46 29 54 31 29 47 50 .... 9 0 0 30 47 17 17 51 17.1 2 44 -17 30 49 42 30 44 52 30 50 38 30 43 56 -0.57 10 0 0 31 43 26 17 51 16.5 4 45 -18 31 45 52 31 41 0 31 46 48 31 40 4 -0.59 11 0 0 32 39 34 17 51 15.7 5 45 -19 32 42 1 32 37 7 32 42 58 32 36 11 -0.60 12 0 0 33 35 38 17 51 14.6 6 46 -20 33 38 5 33 33 11 33 39 3 33 32 14 -0.61 13 0 0 34 31 35 17 51 13.3 7 46 -21 34 34 3 34 29 7 34 35 0 34 28 9 -0.62 14 0 0 35 27 21 17 51 11.8 8 47 -21 35 29 50 35 24 52 35 30 47 35 23 55 -0.62 15 0 0 36 22 53 17 51 10.1 10 48 -22 36 25 23 36 20 24 36 26 21 36 19 26 -0.62 16 0 0 37 18 9 17 51 8.1 11 48 -23 37 20 39 37 15 39 37 21 37 37 14 41 -0.63 17 0 0 38 13 5 17 51 6.0 12 49 -24 38 15 35 38 10 34 38 16 33 38 9 36 -0.63 18 0 0 39 7 37 17 51 3.7 13 50 -25 39 10 8 39 5 6 39 11 7 39 4 8 -0.63 19 0 0 40 1 44 17 51 1.2 14 50 -25 40 4 15 39 59 12 40 5 14 39 58 14 -0.63 20 0 0 40 55 21 17 50 58.5 16 51 -26 40 57 53 40 52 50 40 58 52 40 51 51 -0.63 21 0 0 41 48 27 17 50 55.6 17 52 -27 41 50 58 41 45 55 41 51 58 41 44 56 -0.63 22 0 0 42 40 58 17 50 52.6 18 52 -28 42 43 30 42 38 26 42 44 29 42 37 27 -0.63 23 0 0 43 32 52 17 50 49.5 19 53 -28 43 35 25 43 30 20 43 36 24 43 29 21 -0.64 24 0 0 44 24 7 17 50 46.2 20 54 -29 44 26 40 44 21 35 44 27 39 44 20 36 -0.64 25 0 0 45 14 41 17 50 42.8 21 55 -29 45 17 13 45 12 8 45 18 13 45 11 9 -0.64 26 0 0 46 4 30 17 50 39.3 22 55 -30 46 7 3 46 1 58 46 8 2 46 0 59 -0.64 27 0 0 46 53 34 17 50 35.7 23 56 -30 46 56 7 46 51 2 46 57 6 46 50 3 -0.64 28 0 0 47 41 50 17 50 32.0 24 57 -31 47 44 23 47 39 18 47 45 22 47 38 19 -0.64 29 0 0 48 29 17 17 50 28.2 25 58 -31 48 31 49 48 26 45 48 32 48 48 25 46 -0.64 30 0 0 49 15 53 17 50 24.3 26 59 -32 49 18 25 49 13 21 49 19 24 49 12 22 -0.64 31 0 0 50 1 37 17 50 20.4 27 60 -32 50 4 9 49 59 5 50 5 8 49 58 7 -0.64 32 0 0 50 46 28 17 50 16.4 28 61 -33 50 48 59 50 43 56 50 49 58 50 42 58 -0.64 33 0 0 51 30 24 17 50 12.4 29 62 -33 51 32 55 51 27 53 51 33 54 51 26 55 -0.64 34 0 0 52 13 26 17 50 8.3 30 63 -33 52 15 56 52 10 55 52 16 55 52 9 57 -0.65 35 0 0 52 55 31 17 50 4.3 31 64 -34 52 58 1 52 53 1 52 59 0 52 52 3 -0.65 36 0 0 53 36 41 17 50 0.1 31 65 -34 53 39 10 53 34 12 53 40 8 53 33 14 -0.65 37 0 0 54 16 54 17 49 56.0 32 66 -34 54 19 23 54 14 25 54 20 20 54 13 27 -0.65 38 0 0 54 56 10 17 49 51.9 33 67 -34 54 58 38 54 53 42 54 59 36 54 52 44 -0.65 39 0 0 55 34 29 17 49 47.8 34 68 -35 55 36 57 55 32 2 55 37 54 55 31 5 -0.65 40 0 0 56 11 52 17 49 43.7 34 69 -35 56 14 19 56 9 25 56 15 16 56 8 28 -0.65 41 0 0 56 48 18 17 49 39.5 35 70 -35 56 50 44 56 45 52 56 51 41 56 44 55 -0.65 42 0 0 57 23 48 17 49 35.4 36 71 -35 57 26 13 57 21 23 57 27 9 57 20 26 -0.65 43 0 0 57 58 21 17 49 31.4 37 72 -35 58 0 46 57 55 57 58 1 42 57 55 1 -0.65 44 0 0 58 32 0 17 49 27.3 37 73 -36 58 34 23 58 29 36 58 35 19 58 28 41 -0.65 45 0 0 59 4 44 17 49 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90 -36 64 55 29 64 51 9 64 56 20 64 50 19 -0.66 59 0 0 65 14 47 17 48 31.3 45 91 -36 65 16 56 65 12 38 65 17 46 65 11 48 -0.66 60 0 0 65 35 35 17 48 27.9 45 93 -36 65 37 43 65 33 27 65 38 32 65 32 37 -0.66 61 0 0 65 55 43 17 48 24.6 46 94 -36 65 57 50 65 53 36 65 58 39 65 52 46 -0.66 62 0 0 66 15 12 17 48 21.3 46 95 -36 66 17 18 66 13 6 66 18 7 66 12 17 -0.66 63 0 0 66 34 3 17 48 18.1 46 96 -36 66 36 8 66 31 58 66 36 57 66 31 10 -0.66 64 0 0 66 52 18 17 48 14.9 47 98 -36 66 54 22 66 50 14 66 55 11 66 49 26 -0.66 65 0 0 67 9 58 17 48 11.8 47 99 -36 67 12 1 67 7 55 67 12 49 67 7 7 -0.66 66 0 0 67 27 2 17 48 8.7 48 100 -36 67 29 5 67 25 0 67 29 52 67 24 13 -0.66 67 0 0 67 43 33 17 48 5.6 48 101 -35 67 45 35 67 41 32 67 46 22 67 40 45 -0.66 68 0 0 67 59 32 17 48 2.6 48 103 -35 68 1 32 67 57 31 68 2 19 67 56 45 -0.66 69 0 0 68 14 58 17 47 59.7 48 104 -35 68 16 57 68 12 58 68 17 44 68 12 12 -0.66 70 0 0 68 29 53 17 47 56.7 49 105 -35 68 31 52 68 27 54 68 32 38 68 27 8 -0.66 71 0 0 68 44 18 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-0.67 -137 0 0 33 4 48 17 39 57.0 16 307 24 33 7 14 33 2 21 33 8 11 33 1 25 -0.68 -136 0 0 32 9 10 17 39 54.0 15 307 25 32 11 35 32 6 44 32 12 32 32 5 48 -0.68 -135 0 0 31 13 30 17 39 51.3 14 308 26 31 15 55 31 11 5 31 16 51 31 10 9 -0.68 -134 0 0 30 17 51 17 39 48.7 13 309 27 30 20 15 30 15 27 30 21 11 30 14 31 -0.69 -133 0 0 29 22 17 17 39 46.4 11 309 29 29 24 40 29 19 54 29 25 36 29 18 58 -0.69 -132 0 0 28 26 49 17 39 44.3 10 310 30 28 29 12 28 24 27 28 30 7 28 23 32 -0.70 -131 0 0 27 31 32 17 39 42.5 9 310 31 27 33 54 27 29 11 27 34 49 27 28 16 -0.71 -130 0 0 26 36 28 17 39 40.8 8 311 32 26 38 49 26 34 8 26 39 43 26 33 13 -0.72 -129 0 0 25 41 40 17 39 39.5 6 311 34 25 44 0 25 39 20 25 44 54 25 38 26 -0.74 -128 0 0 24 47 10 17 39 38.3 5 311 35 24 49 29 24 44 52 24 50 23 24 43 58 -0.76 -127 0 0 23 53 2 17 39 37.5 4 312 36 23 55 20 23 50 45 23 56 13 23 49 51 -0.81 -126 0 0 22 59 18 17 39 36.8 2 312 38 23 1 35 22 57 2 23 2 28 22 56 8 -0.90 -125 0 0 22 6 0 17 39 36.5 1 313 39 22 8 16 22 3 45 22 9 9 22 2 52 -1.17 Uncertainty in time = +/- 0 secs Prediction of 2023 Jul 15.7 Data for the target star ------------------------ * name: UCAC4 648-023963 * constellation : Auriga * BCRS position with proper motion to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 04 57 10.0172 DE: +39 28 59.863 * GCRS Astrometric position with proper motion and parallax to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 04 57 10.0172 DE: +39 28 59.863 * position source: Gaia DR3 * standard error: RA,DE [mas]: (0.200,0.200) * V mag [mag]: 11.5 * B mag [mag]: 12.8 * Diameter [mas]: 0.10 * remarks: Data for the minor planet ------------------------- * general information: (number) name: (3200) Phaethon asteroid class: approx. diameter [km]: 5 approx. diameter ["]: 0.006 distance from Earth [AU]: 1.21630 asteroid position offset in RA [mas]: 0 asteroid position offset in DE [mas]: 0 * orbital information: orbit source: JPL#780 date of fit: 2022 Nov 01 source of used astrometry: MPC, JPL number of used observations: 0 number of rejected observations: 0 time covered by the observations: 1800 Jan 01 - 1800 Jan 01 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): 0.003", 0.001", 92.568° remarks: * orbital elements for (3200)Phaethon : Mean anomaly = 260.4814315931 deg Arg. of pericenter = 322.3060525565 deg Long. of node = 265.0954963243 deg Inclination = 22.3118130306 deg Eccentricity = 0.8897944253 Semimajor axis = 1.2714664787 AU Perihelion dist = 0.1401226940 AU Mag: H = 14.40, G = 0.15 Epoch of elements : MJD 60616.73989571 TDT (2024 Nov 02.7399) ------ occelmnt file for Occult BEGIN ----------------------------------- JPL#7802022Nov01,0.34,2024,11,2,17.757495,0.052801,0.547427,-8.529315,0.821862,-0.003132,-0.001613,0.000001,0.000000 125.8727,39.5221,-90.47,-15.07,False UCAC4 648-023963,4.95278254,39.4832951,12.75,11.53,10.87,0.1,0,,4.98162245,39.5221286,5.82,6.03,0,0,0 3200,Phaethon,17.34,5.104,1.2163,0,0,-5.333,5.93,,0.4,0 0,259.9728,2024,11,2,322.3061,265.0955,22.3118,0.88979,1.27147,0.14012,14.40,5.0,0.15 1.194,0.0030,0.0011,93,0.0011,Known errors,1.09,0,-1,-1 20241102_023963,60140.68 ------ occelmnt file for Occult END ----------------------------------- ============================================ Calculator (s): Steve Preston Date of update: 2023 Jul 15, 16:14 UT Steve Preston 7640 NE 32nd St Medina, WA 98039 stevepr@acm.org