IOTA/IOTA-ES occultation update for (4808) Ballaero / UCAC4 638-021841 event on 2024 Nov 24, 19:16 UT Visible from Summary ------- On 2024 Nov 24 UT, the 19.384265983223 km diameter asteroid (4808) Ballaero will occult a 11.8 mag star in the constellation Auriga for observers along a path across . In the case of an occultation, the combined light of the asteroid and the star will drop by 3.59 mag to 15.30 mag (the magnitude of the asteroid) for at most 2.430 seconds. This update is based on, astrometry for the asteroid kindly provided by the IAU Minor Planet Center. This work has made use of data from the European Space Agency (ESA) mission Gaia (http://www.cosmos.esa.int/gaia), processed by the Gaia Data Processing and Analysis Consortium (DPAC, http://www.cosmos.esa.int/web/gaia/dpac/consortium). Funding for the DPAC has been provided by national institutions, in particular the institutions participating in the Gaia Multilateral Agreement. The event at a glimpse ---------------------- * Rank: 93 * date and approx. time of event: 2024 Nov 24, 19:08 - 2024 Nov 24, 19:25 * geocentric midpoint of event [JD]: 2460639.30346975 * magnitude of target star: 11.75 * magnitude drop [mag]: 3.59 * estimated maximum duration [s]: 2.430 * Moon: 34 % sunlit, 93° distance * Sun: 158° distance * rough path description: The occultation path -------------------- * approximate projected width [km]: 30 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [path widths]: +/- 0.48 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval [seconds]: +/- 3.7 * 1 sigma uncertainty interval approx RA,DE ["]: (+/- 0.033, +/- 0.004) * 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): (0.033", 0.004", 93°) * approx speed of asteroid's shadow [km/s]: 8.0069 * website for maps: http://www.asteroidoccultation.com Path Coordinates: Occultation of UCAC4 638-021841 by 4808 Ballaero on 2024 Nov 24 Centre Star Star Sun Path Limits Error Limits Alt E. Longitude Latitude U.T. Alt Az Alt Limit 1 Limit 2 Limit 3 Limit 4 Crn o ' " o ' " h m s o o o o ' " o ' " o ' " o ' " Latitude Latitude Latitude Latitude 42 0 0 -45 28 11 19 25 28.8 0 30 -21 -45 11 18 .. .. .. -44 55 23 .. .. .. .... 43 0 0 -44 15 26 19 25 28.5 1 29 -22 -43 59 4 -44 31 59 -43 43 37 -44 47 58 0.40 44 0 0 -43 4 13 19 25 27.5 3 29 -23 -42 48 20 -43 20 17 -42 33 20 -43 35 47 0.83 45 0 0 -41 54 34 19 25 25.7 4 28 -25 -41 39 7 -42 10 10 -41 24 32 -42 25 12 0.97 46 0 0 -40 46 27 19 25 23.3 6 27 -26 -40 31 25 -41 1 37 -40 17 13 -41 16 14 1.04 47 0 0 -39 39 51 19 25 20.3 7 27 -27 -39 25 13 -39 54 37 -39 11 22 -40 8 51 1.09 48 0 0 -38 34 47 19 25 16.6 8 26 -29 -38 20 31 -38 49 10 -38 7 0 -39 3 2 1.12 49 0 0 -37 31 12 19 25 12.3 9 25 -30 -37 17 17 -37 45 15 -37 4 6 -37 58 45 1.14 50 0 0 -36 29 8 19 25 7.4 11 25 -31 -36 15 31 -36 42 50 -36 2 39 -36 56 1 1.15 51 0 0 -35 28 31 19 25 2.0 12 24 -32 -35 15 13 -35 41 55 -35 2 38 -35 54 48 1.16 52 0 0 -34 29 22 19 24 56.1 13 24 -33 -34 16 22 -34 42 29 -34 4 2 -34 55 5 1.17 53 0 0 -33 31 40 19 24 49.7 14 23 -35 -33 18 56 -33 44 30 -33 6 51 -33 56 50 1.18 54 0 0 -32 35 24 19 24 42.8 16 22 -36 -32 22 54 -32 47 58 -32 11 4 -33 0 2 1.19 55 0 0 -31 40 32 19 24 35.4 17 22 -37 -31 28 17 -31 52 51 -31 16 40 -32 4 41 1.19 56 0 0 -30 47 3 19 24 27.7 18 21 -38 -30 35 2 -30 59 9 -30 23 38 -31 10 45 1.19 57 0 0 -29 54 58 19 24 19.5 19 20 -39 -29 43 9 -30 6 50 -29 31 58 -30 18 14 1.20 58 0 0 -29 4 13 19 24 10.9 20 20 -40 -28 52 38 -29 15 53 -28 41 37 -29 27 5 1.20 59 0 0 -28 14 50 19 24 2.0 21 19 -41 -28 3 26 -28 26 18 -27 52 36 -28 37 18 1.20 60 0 0 -27 26 46 19 23 52.7 22 18 -42 -27 15 32 -27 38 3 -27 4 53 -27 48 52 1.20 61 0 0 -26 40 0 19 23 43.1 23 18 -42 -26 28 57 -26 51 6 -26 18 28 -27 1 46 1.20 62 0 0 -25 54 32 19 23 33.2 24 17 -43 -25 43 39 -26 5 28 -25 33 19 -26 15 58 1.21 63 0 0 -25 10 21 19 23 23.0 25 16 -44 -24 59 37 -25 21 7 -24 49 26 -25 31 27 1.21 64 0 0 -24 27 25 19 23 12.6 26 16 -45 -24 16 50 -24 38 2 -24 6 47 -24 48 13 1.21 65 0 0 -23 45 43 19 23 1.9 27 15 -46 -23 35 17 -23 56 12 -23 25 23 -24 6 15 1.21 66 0 0 -23 5 16 19 22 50.9 28 14 -46 -22 54 58 -23 15 36 -22 45 11 -23 25 31 1.21 67 0 0 -22 26 1 19 22 39.7 29 13 -47 -22 15 51 -22 36 14 -22 6 11 -22 46 1 1.21 68 0 0 -21 47 58 19 22 28.4 29 13 -48 -21 37 55 -21 58 3 -21 28 22 -22 7 43 1.21 69 0 0 -21 11 6 19 22 16.8 30 12 -48 -21 1 10 -21 21 4 -20 51 44 -21 30 37 1.21 70 0 0 -20 35 24 19 22 5.0 31 11 -49 -20 25 35 -20 45 15 -20 16 15 -20 54 42 1.21 71 0 0 -20 0 51 19 21 53.1 32 10 -49 -19 51 8 -20 10 36 -19 41 54 -20 19 57 1.21 72 0 0 -19 27 27 19 21 41.0 32 9 -49 -19 17 50 -19 37 6 -19 8 42 -19 46 21 1.20 73 0 0 -18 55 10 19 21 28.8 33 9 -50 -18 45 39 -19 4 44 -18 36 36 -19 13 53 1.20 74 0 0 -18 24 0 19 21 16.5 34 8 -50 -18 14 35 -18 33 28 -18 5 37 -18 42 32 1.20 75 0 0 -17 53 57 19 21 4.0 34 7 -51 -17 44 36 -18 3 19 -17 35 43 -18 12 18 1.20 76 0 0 -17 24 58 19 20 51.5 35 6 -51 -17 15 43 -17 34 16 -17 6 54 -17 43 10 1.20 77 0 0 -16 57 5 19 20 38.8 35 5 -51 -16 47 54 -17 6 17 -16 39 10 -17 15 7 1.20 78 0 0 -16 30 15 19 20 26.0 36 4 -51 -16 21 8 -16 39 23 -16 12 29 -16 48 8 1.20 79 0 0 -16 4 28 19 20 13.2 36 3 -51 -15 55 26 -16 13 33 -15 46 50 -16 22 14 1.20 80 0 0 -15 39 45 19 20 0.3 37 2 -51 -15 30 46 -15 48 45 -15 22 15 -15 57 22 1.20 81 0 0 -15 16 3 19 19 47.3 37 2 -51 -15 7 9 -15 24 59 -14 58 40 -15 33 33 1.20 82 0 0 -14 53 23 19 19 34.3 38 1 -51 -14 44 32 -15 2 16 -14 36 7 -15 10 46 1.20 83 0 0 -14 31 44 19 19 21.2 38 360 -51 -14 22 57 -14 40 33 -14 14 35 -14 49 0 1.20 84 0 0 -14 11 6 19 19 8.1 38 359 -51 -14 2 21 -14 19 52 -13 54 2 -14 28 15 1.20 85 0 0 -13 51 27 19 18 55.0 39 358 -51 -13 42 46 -14 0 10 -13 34 30 -14 8 31 1.20 86 0 0 -13 32 48 19 18 41.8 39 357 -51 -13 24 9 -13 41 28 -13 15 56 -13 49 46 1.20 87 0 0 -13 15 8 19 18 28.6 39 356 -51 -13 6 32 -13 23 45 -12 58 21 -13 32 0 1.20 88 0 0 -12 58 26 19 18 15.5 39 355 -51 -12 49 53 -13 7 1 -12 41 45 -13 15 14 1.20 89 0 0 -12 42 43 19 18 2.3 40 354 -50 -12 34 12 -12 51 16 -12 26 6 -12 59 26 1.20 90 0 0 -12 27 58 19 17 49.1 40 353 -50 -12 19 29 -12 36 28 -12 11 25 -12 44 37 1.20 91 0 0 -12 14 10 19 17 35.9 40 352 -50 -12 5 43 -12 22 38 -11 57 41 -12 30 45 1.20 92 0 0 -12 1 19 19 17 22.7 40 351 -49 -11 52 54 -12 9 46 -11 44 54 -12 17 51 1.20 93 0 0 -11 49 26 19 17 9.6 40 350 -49 -11 41 2 -11 57 50 -11 33 3 -12 5 53 1.20 94 0 0 -11 38 28 19 16 56.5 40 349 -48 -11 30 7 -11 46 52 -11 22 9 -11 54 53 1.20 95 0 0 -11 28 28 19 16 43.4 40 348 -48 -11 20 7 -11 36 50 -11 12 11 -11 44 50 1.20 96 0 0 -11 19 23 19 16 30.4 40 347 -48 -11 11 4 -11 27 44 -11 3 9 -11 35 43 1.20 97 0 0 -11 11 15 19 16 17.4 40 346 -47 -11 2 57 -11 19 34 -10 55 3 -11 27 32 1.20 98 0 0 -11 4 2 19 16 4.4 40 345 -46 -10 55 45 -11 12 21 -10 47 52 -11 20 18 1.20 99 0 0 -10 57 45 19 15 51.5 39 344 -46 -10 49 29 -11 6 3 -10 41 37 -11 13 59 1.20 100 0 0 -10 52 24 19 15 38.7 39 343 -45 -10 44 8 -11 0 41 -10 36 17 -11 8 36 1.20 101 0 0 -10 47 58 19 15 25.9 39 342 -45 -10 39 43 -10 56 15 -10 31 52 -11 4 10 1.20 102 0 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27 20 -27 50 27 -27 16 24 -28 1 34 1.63 151 0 0 .. .. .... .. .. .. .. .. .. -28 17 27 .. .. .. -28 6 19 .. .. .. .... Uncertainty in time = +/- 4 secs Prediction of 2023 Jul 15.7 Data for the target star ------------------------ * name: UCAC4 638-021841 * constellation : Auriga * BCRS position with proper motion to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 05 05 19.0136 DE: +37 28 32.625 * GCRS Astrometric position with proper motion and parallax to date of event [h,m,s ; °,',"] RA: 05 05 19.0136 DE: +37 28 32.626 * position source: Gaia DR3 * standard error: RA,DE [mas]: (0.200,0.100) * V mag [mag]: 11.8 * B mag [mag]: 12.8 * Diameter [mas]: 0.10 * remarks: Data for the minor planet ------------------------- * general information: (number) name: (4808) Ballaero asteroid class: approx. diameter [km]: 19 approx. diameter ["]: 0.021 distance from Earth [AU]: 1.29240 asteroid position offset in RA [mas]: 0 asteroid position offset in DE [mas]: 0 * orbital information: orbit source: JPL#47 date of fit: 2023 Apr 25 source of used astrometry: MPC, JPL number of used observations: 0 number of rejected observations: 0 time covered by the observations: 1800 Jan 01 - 1800 Jan 01 1 sigma uncertainty ellipse (major, minor, PA): 0.033", 0.004", 92.796° remarks: * orbital elements for (4808)Ballaero : Mean anomaly = 352.7619237044 deg Arg. of pericenter = 139.3661913160 deg Long. of node = 302.0098045315 deg Inclination = 10.7882071161 deg Eccentricity = 0.1627163384 Semimajor axis = 2.6692041697 AU Perihelion dist = 2.2348810409 AU Mag: H = 12.38, G = 0.15 Epoch of elements : MJD 60638.80346921 TDT (2024 Nov 24.8035) ------ occelmnt file for Occult BEGIN ----------------------------------- JPL#472023Apr25,2.43,2024,11,24,19.283274,0.178085,-0.746032,-4.395858,-1.049159,-0.001469,-0.001512,0.000001,0.000000 83.2720,37.5105,-112.52,-20.76,False UCAC4 638-021841,5.08861487,37.4757292,12.82,11.75,11.17,0.1,0,,5.11716921,37.5104702,3.59,3.71,0,0,1 4808,Ballaero,15.30,19.478,1.2924,0,0,-2.514,-7.15,,1.2,0 0,352.5803,2024,11,24,139.3662,302.0098,10.7882,0.16272,2.66920,2.23488,12.37,5.0,0.15 1.477,0.0327,0.0040,93,0.0099,Known errors,1.17,0,-1,-1 20241124_021841,60140.71 ------ occelmnt file for Occult END ----------------------------------- ============================================ Calculator (s): Steve Preston Date of update: 2023 Jul 15, 17:07 UT Steve Preston 7640 NE 32nd St Medina, WA 98039 stevepr@acm.org